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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Girona

Match Elche vs Girona December 7, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 13:00
3:0
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.22 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.99 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.17 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.82 – 0.93
Δ +0.89
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +7.6% better than the market.

Elche arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing a solid defensive shape that could frustrate Girona. The hosts' pressing and set-piece threat stand out against Girona's less effective defense. Girona's recent form hints at resilience but their away struggles and lower offensive output may limit chances.

  • Home defensive compactness vs away attack
  • Elche's better form and home edge
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.99 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · GIR 4-4-2
ELC · 3-5-2 4-4-2 · GIR 13 Peña 23 Chust 22 Affengruber 6 Bigas 39 Fort 15 Núñez 8 Aguado 14 Febas 11 Valera ⚽ 19 Diangana 10 Mir ⚽ 13 Gazzaniga 16 Francés 12 Reis 17 Blind 24 Moreno 15 Tsygankov 23 Martín 20 Witsel 21 Gil 10 Asprilla 19 Vanat
Subs used · ELC
46' Mendoza ↑ · Diangana ↓
59' Josan ↑ · Fort ↓
59' Petrot ↑ · Bigas ↓
71' Pedrosa ↑ · Valera ↓
82' Donald ↑ · Aguado ↓
Subs used · GIR
66' Roca ↑ · Asprilla ↓
66' Lemar ↑ · Vanat ↓
66' E. Solis Romero ↑ · Witsel ↓
72' Rincon ↑ · Frances ↓
83' Arango ↑ · Tsygankov ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 3 – 0 GIR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
11
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
18
Fouls
13
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0
17'
▮
Bryan Gil
Yellow Card
G. Valera
Assist · H. Fort · 1–0
⚽
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
R. Mendoza ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
R. Mir
Assist · H. Fort · 2–0
⚽
51'
R. Mir
3–0
⚽
57'
Josan ↓ · H. Fort ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
L. Petrot ↓ · P. Bigas ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
59'
66'
⇄
J. Roca ↓ · Y. Asprilla ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
T. Lemar ↓ · V. Vanat ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
J. E. Solis Romero ↓ · A. Witsel ↑
Substitution 3
A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Valera ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
72'
⇄
H. Rincon ↓ · A. Frances ↑
Substitution 4
J. Donald ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
83'
⇄
J. Arango ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑
Substitution 5
85'
▮
Juan Arango
Yellow Card
87'
▮
Iván Martín
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.22 — 53% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.99 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 — 50% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 46% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.75 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.52 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 79% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.58 — 53% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.30 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 75% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 — 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.56 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.52 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.98u −23% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ELC – GIR @ 1.99
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →