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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Atletico Madrid

Match Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid December 6, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.30
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.34
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.99
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.05 – 0.77
Δ +0.28
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid arrive with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, despite Athletic Club's solid home momentum. Atletico's offensive threat faces a tough defensive test, but their sharper attack and sustained winning streak suggest they can break through. Athletic's resilience and home crowd might keep this tight, hinting at a competitive clash with moderate goal potential.

  • Atletico's superior overall quality and recent form advantage
  • Athletic's defensive solidity and home support
  • Moderate pace expected, balancing attacking intent and defensive caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · ATM 4-1-4-1
Subs used · BIL
33' Vivian ↑ · Laporte
66' Gomez ↑ · Guruzeta
66' Rego ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta
82' Gorosabel ↑ · Areso
82' Izeta ↑ · Sancet
Subs used · ATM
46' Koke ↑ · Gallagher
62' Ruggeri ↑ · Lenglet
62' Sorloth ↑ · Almada
66' Griezmann ↑ · Alvarez
72' Raspadori ↑ · Gonzalez

📊 Statistics

BIL 10 ATM
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.77
14
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
12
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 1 – 0
12'
Conor Gallagher
Yellow Card
Mikel Jauregizar
Yellow Card
14'
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Yellow Card
20'
Aymeric Laporte
Yellow Card
28'
D. Vivian ↓ · A. Laporte ↑
Substitution 1
33'
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
Koke ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑
Substitution 1
62'
M. Ruggeri ↓ · C. Lenglet ↑
Substitution 2
62'
A. Sorloth ↓ · T. Almada ↑
Substitution 3
U. Gomez ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑
Substitution 2
66'
A. Rego ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 3
66'
66'
A. Griezmann ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 4
72'
G. Raspadori ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 5
A. Gorosabel ↓ · J. Areso ↑
Substitution 4
82'
Izeta ↓ · O. Sancet ↑
Substitution 5
82'
A. Berenguer
Assist · N. Williams · 1–0
85'
90+4'
Koke
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.30 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.34 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.99 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.89 49% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.73 53% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.62 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.70 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.44 21% Cashed +1.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.15 28% Cashed +2.15 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 91% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 75% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.44 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.50 21% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.26u −2% ROI