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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Oviedo — Rayo Vallecano

Match Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano November 23, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 13:00
0:0
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.89
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.72
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.30
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.33 – 0.98
Δ −0.65
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.89 — +10.5% better than the market.

Rayo Vallecano arrive with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Oviedo's defensive solidity is notable, but Rayo's sharper attack and momentum from three wins in a row could test their resilience. Expect a tactical battle where Rayo's offensive pressure meets Oviedo's compact block, likely resulting in a cautious game with limited goals.

  • Rayo's superior quality and form advantage
  • Oviedo's defensive discipline at home
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favors a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.89 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 53% +0.89u
+89%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · RAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · OVI
46' Alhassane ↑ · Lopez
61' Agudin ↑ · Rondon
62' Hassan ↑ · Cazorla
79' Reina ↑ · Dendoncker
86' Fores ↑ · Vinas
Subs used · RAY
57' Ciss ↑ · Mendy
70' Alemao ↑ · Camello
85' Perez ↑ · Palazon
86' Gumbau ↑ · Valentin

📊 Statistics

OVI 00 RAY
39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
8
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
13
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 0 – 0
29'
Nobel Mendy
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
R. Alhassane ↓ · J. Lopez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Ilyas Chaira
Red Card
53'
57'
P. Ciss ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 1
P. Agudin ↓ · S. Rondon ↑
Substitution 2
61'
H. Hassan ↓ · S. Cazorla ↑
Substitution 3
62'
70'
Alemao ↓ · S. Camello ↑
Substitution 2
Nacho Vidal
Yellow Card
73'
A. Reina ↓ · L. Dendoncker ↑
Substitution 4
79'
80'
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
85'
F. Perez ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 3
A. Fores ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 5
86'
86'
G. Gumbau ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Red Card
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.89 58% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.72 63% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Away Win 2.30 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.30 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.71 48% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.49 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.05 37% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 79% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.59 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Cashed +8.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 82% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 27% Cashed +2.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +6.40u +38% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
OVI – RAY @ 1.89
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →