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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Girona — Alaves

Match Girona vs Alaves November 8, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 13:00
1:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.70
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.90
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 40% · book 2.21
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.86 – 1.58
Δ −0.72
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.70 — +9.3% better than the market.

Girona hosts Alaves in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by a stronger defensive record. Girona’s home advantage is moderate but their recent form shows some inconsistency, while Alaves arrives with better momentum. Expect a tactical battle with Alaves likely to press higher and exploit Girona’s defensive gaps.

  • Alaves’ defensive solidity challenges Girona’s attack
  • Moderate home edge for Girona, but away form is stronger
  • Odds suggest a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 59% +0.70u
+70%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GIR 4-4-1-1 · ALA 4-4-2
Subs used · GIR
63' Roca ↑ · Gil
71' Stuani ↑ · Vanat
71' Ruiz ↑ · Ounahi
85' Rincon ↑ · Tsygankov
85' E. Solis Romero ↑ · Witsel
Subs used · ALA
46' Vicente ↑ · Alena
46' Guridi ↑ · Diaz
46' Rebbach ↑ · Calebe
81' Morcillo ↑ · Suarez
88' Ibanez ↑ · Yusi

📊 Statistics

GIR 10 ALA
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
10
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
15
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
V. Tsygankov
Assist · B. Gil · 1–0
16'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
C. Vicente ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 1
46'
J. Guridi ↓ · M. Diaz ↑
Substitution 2
46'
A. Rebbach ↓ · Calebe ↑
Substitution 3
56'
Abderrahman Rebbach
Yellow Card
J. Roca ↓ · B. Gil ↑
Substitution 1
63'
68'
Denis Suárez
Yellow Card
C. Stuani ↓ · V. Vanat ↑
Substitution 2
71'
A. Ruiz ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑
Substitution 3
71'
81'
D. Morcillo ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 4
84'
Carlos Vicente
Yellow Card
H. Rincon ↓ · V. Tsygankov ↑
Substitution 4
85'
J. E. Solis Romero ↓ · A. Witsel ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
P. Ibanez ↓ · Yusi ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.70 64% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS No 1.90 58% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.21 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.34 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.54 32% Cashed +1.54 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.78 32% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.59 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.18 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.04 38% Cashed +2.04 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.41 60% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 87% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.30 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.35 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.29u −13% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
GIR – ALA @ 1.70
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →