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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad

Match Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad October 19, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 14:15
1:1
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.21 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.92 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.09 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.95 – 1.58
Δ −0.63
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Celta Vigo hosts Real Sociedad in a match where the home side is slightly favored. Celta's estimated probability of winning is 49.74% against the odds of 2.21, suggesting a competitive edge. The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market appears promising with a 56.48% estimated probability and odds of 1.92, indicating a potentially tight contest. Expect a cautious approach from both teams, with Celta leveraging home advantage and Sociedad's solid defensive shape.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · RSO 4-4-2
CEL · 3-4-3 4-4-2 · RSO 13 Radu 32 Rodríguez 2 Starfelt 20 Alonso 3 Mingueza 6 Moriba 22 Sotelo 5 Carreira 9 Jutglà 7 Iglesias 18 Durán ⚽ 1 Remiro 2 Aramburu 5 Zubeldia 16 Ćaleta-Car 3 Muñoz 23 Méndez 12 Herrera 4 Gorrotxategi 17 Gómez 10 Oyarzabal 7 Barrenetxea
Subs used · CEL
46' Dominguez ↑ · Sotelo ↓
54' Rueda ↑ · Mingueza ↓
54' Alvarez ↑ · Iglesias ↓
70' El Abdellaoui ↑ · Jutgla ↓
85' Beltran ↑ · Duran ↓
Subs used · RSO
57' Marin ↑ · Herrera ↓
67' Guedes ↑ · Munoz ↓
67' Soler ↑ · Mendez ↓
76' Karrikaburu ↑ · Aramburu ↓
76' Zakharyan ↑ · Barrenetxea ↓

📊 Statistics

CEL 1 – 1 RSO
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
4
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
4
2
Shots Inside Box
10
1
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
8
10
Fouls
20
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
4
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 1
P. Duran
Assist · O. Mingueza · 1–0
⚽
20'
Carl Starfelt
Yellow Card
▮
30'
33'
▮
Sergio Gómez
Yellow Card
37'
▮
Igor Zubeldia
Yellow Card
Carl Starfelt
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Carl Starfelt
Red Card
▮
45+1'
45+1'
▮
Yangel Herrera
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
C. Dominguez ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
J. Rueda ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
54'
H. Alvarez ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
54'
Javier Rueda
Yellow Card
▮
56'
57'
⇄
P. Marin ↓ · Y. Herrera ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
G. Guedes ↓ · A. Munoz ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
C. Soler ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 3
J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
76'
⇄
J. Karrikaburu ↓ · J. Aramburu ↑
Substitution 4
76'
⇄
A. Zakharyan ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 5
F. Beltran ↓ · P. Duran ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
89'
⚽
C. Soler
Assist · G. Guedes · 1–1
Ilaix Moriba
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.21 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.92 — 56% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS No 2.09 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 76% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.35 — 76% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.64 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.52 — 26% Cashed +2.52 Cashed
Away Win 3.74 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.79 — 50% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 — 70% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.02 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.79 — 50% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.54 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.71 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.91u −17% ROI