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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano

Match Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano October 5, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.17
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.80
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 31% · book 3.35
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.79 – 0.80
Δ −0.01
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
3 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad vs Rayo — betting preview

Sociedad at home look a touch stronger in overall balance and structure, while Rayo’s recent form has dipped away from home. Expect the hosts to control more territory and keep chance quality modest; game state should be tight unless an early goal opens it up.

Our numbers shade toward Sociedad-favored outcomes and a slightly lower total. Angles that rate best combine home-sided protection with selective unders.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RSO 4-1-4-1 · RAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RSO
61' Kubo ↑ · Soler
61' Sucic ↑ · Guedes
80' Karrikaburu ↑ · Barrenetxea
80' Marin ↑ · Mendez
Subs used · RAY
46' Perez ↑ · Garcia
65' Diaz ↑ · Palazon
71' Vertrouwd ↑ · Ciss
77' Nteka ↑ · de Frutos
77' Pacha ↑ · Alemao

📊 Statistics

RSO 01 RAY
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
10
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
21
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
F. Perez ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 1
Carlos Soler
Yellow Card
60'
T. Kubo ↓ · C. Soler ↑
Substitution 1
61'
L. Sucic ↓ · G. Guedes ↑
Substitution 2
61'
62'
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
65'
P. Diaz ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 2
71'
J. Vertrouwd ↓ · P. Ciss ↑
Substitution 3
77'
R. Nteka ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 4
77'
Pacha ↓ · Alemao ↑
Substitution 5
J. Karrikaburu ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 3
80'
P. Marin ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 4
80'
84'
Pacha
Assist · A. Ratiu · 0–1
90+2'
Florian Lejeune
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.17 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 57% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.35 31% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
Away Win 3.80 26% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Draw 3.60 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 2 L +3.95u +79% ROI