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Football Spain La Liga Alaves — Elche

Match Alaves vs Elche October 5, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 12:00
3:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 34% · book 3.60
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.66
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 3.20
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.35 – 0.38
Δ +1.97
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alaves vs Elche — betting preview

Elche travel with the cleaner overall profile and a sturdier defensive base, while Alaves lean on home advantage and set-piece moments. Expect a measured tempo with long spells of midfield compression. If the visitors control territory, Alaves may struggle to generate repeatable chances from open play.

Our numbers shade toward away-favored outcomes and a modest totals corridor (under pressure early, the scoreline can remain narrow). Draw protection on the away side and conservative totals angles make the most practical sense at current prices.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALA 4-2-3-1 · ELC 3-5-2
Subs used · ALA
37' Vicente ↑ · Calebe
72' Suarez ↑ · Blanco
72' Guevara ↑ · Ibanez
72' Alena ↑ · Rebbach
85' Parada ↑ · Martinez
Subs used · ELC
46' Neto ↑ · Diangana
69' Silva ↑ · Mir
77' Donald ↑ · Aguado
85' Petrot ↑ · Rodriguez
85' Boayar

📊 Statistics

ALA 31 ELC
48%
Possession (%)
52%
2.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.38
25
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
1
14
Shots Inside Box
3
14
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
9
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 3 – 1
Jon Pacheco
Yellow Card
28'
C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑
Substitution 1
37'
Antonio Blanco
Yellow Card
39'
40'
Grady Diangana
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
M. Neto ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 1
69'
Andre Silva ↓ · R. Mir ↑
Substitution 2
D. Suarez ↓ · A. Blanco ↑
Substitution 2
72'
A. Guevara ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 3
72'
C. Alena ↓ · A. Rebbach ↑
Substitution 4
72'
C. Vicente (P)
Penalty · 1–0
76'
77'
J. Donald ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 3
79'
David Affengruber
Red Card
T. Martinez
Assist · C. Alena · 2–0
81'
V. Parada ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
85'
85'
L. Petrot ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 4
85'
A. Boayar ↓ ·
Substitution 5
Jonny Otto
Yellow Card
89'
90'
Andre Silva
Assist · G. Valera · 2–1
L. Boye
Assist · C. Alena · 3–1
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 3.60 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.66 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.20 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.67 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.47 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.38 36% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.39 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −4.62u −66% ROI