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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Mallorca

Match Athletic Club vs Mallorca October 4, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 44% · book 2.65 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 20% · book 7.55 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.62 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.71 – 0.32
Δ +1.39
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Athletic Club vs Mallorca: baseline leans to the hosts on overall strength and home edge, but the away side’s structure keeps X2 live. Expect a controlled tempo with limited clean looks and long phases in midfield.

Unders and BTTS No are supported by the matchup profile. If the first goal is delayed, Mallorca’s double-chance equity and narrow away win price both improve materially.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-2-3-1
BIL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAL 1 Simón 12 Areso 3 Vivian 14 Laporte 17 Berchiche 16 Galarreta 18 Jauregizar 22 Serrano 11 Guruzeta 23 Navarro 9 Williams ⚽ 1 Román 23 Maffeo 24 Valjent 21 Raíllo 22 Mojica 12 Costa ⚽ 8 Morlanes 30 Domenech 10 Darder 20 Torre 7 Muriqi
Subs used · BIL
53' Williams ↑ · Williams ↓
62' Sannadi ↑ · Guruzeta ↓
62' Rego ↑ · Serrano ↓
82' Lekue ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta ↓
82' Izeta ↑ · Navarro ↓
Subs used · MAL
66' Joseph ↑ · Torre ↓
66' Llabres ↑ · Domenech ↓
83' Sanchez ↑ · Morlanes ↓
88' Morey Bauza ↑ · Maffeo ↓
88' Lato ↑ · Mojica ↓

📊 Statistics

BIL 2 – 1 MAL
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.32
18
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
2
7
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
5
16
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
5
Yellow Cards
6
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

24 · 2 – 1
I. Williams (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
9'
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Yellow Card
▮
36'
45+2'
▮
Sergi Darder
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
Aymeric Laporte
Yellow Card
▮
48'
N. Williams ↓ · I. Williams ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
53'
M. Sannadi ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
A. Rego ↓ · N. Serrano ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
66'
⇄
M. Joseph ↓ · P. Torre ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
J. Llabres ↓ · M. Domenech ↑
Substitution 2
75'
▮
Vedat Muriqi
Yellow Card
77'
⚽
Samu Costa
Assist · M. Joseph · 1–1
I. Lekue ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
Izeta ↓ · R. Navarro ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
A. Rego
Assist · J. Areso · 2–1
⚽
82'
83'
⇄
A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑
Substitution 3
88'
⇄
M. Morey Bauza ↓ · P. Maffeo ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
T. Lato ↓ · J. Mojica ↑
Substitution 5
89'
▮
Antonio Raíllo
Yellow Card
Jesús Areso
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90+2'
▮
Antonio Sánchez
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Antonio Sánchez
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Antonio Sánchez
Red Card
Daniel Vivian
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+5'
▮
Leo Román
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.65 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.55 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.62 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Draw 4.15 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.56 — 57% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 2 W · 5 L −4.19u −60% ROI