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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla September 28, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 12:00
0:1
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 33% · book 3.80
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.78
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.98
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.93 – 0.63
Δ +1.30
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This clash features Rayo Vallecano, who have struggled to find consistency and have shown a fragile defensive shape at home recently. Sevilla, while not in peak form, display a more balanced attacking and defensive profile and have a slight edge in overall strength. The home side’s recent form is poor, and their attacking threat looks limited, whereas Sevilla’s away performances suggest they can capitalize on defensive lapses. Expect a moderately open game with a reasonable chance of goals from both sides, but Sevilla’s steadier form and overall quality give them a slight advantage.

Markets favor a competitive match with value seen in the away win and double chance options. Totals lean towards over 2.5 goals given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. BTTS is also a plausible outcome given both teams’ scoring and conceding patterns.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RAY 4-4-2 · SEV 3-4-3
Subs used · RAY
67' Lopez ↑ · Diaz
67' Perez ↑ · de Frutos
78' Trejo ↑ · Palazon
78' Camello ↑ · Alemao
90+2' Becerra ↑ · Valentin
Subs used · SEV
69' Adams ↑ · Romero
69' Januzaj ↑ · Vargas
77' Sow ↑ · Agoume
77' Martinez ↑ · Cardoso
90+3' Peque ↑ · Sanchez

📊 Statistics

RAY 01 SEV
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.63
18
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
2
12
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
15
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 0 – 1
Florian Lejeune
Yellow Card
34'
Half-time · 0 – 0
48'
José Ángel Carmona
Yellow Card
U. Lopez ↓ · P. Diaz ↑
Substitution 1
67'
F. Perez ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 2
67'
69'
A. Adams ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 1
69'
A. Januzaj ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 2
77'
D. Sow ↓ · L. Agoume ↑
Substitution 3
77'
R. Martinez ↓ · F. Cardoso ↑
Substitution 4
O. Trejo ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 3
78'
S. Camello ↓ · Alemao ↑
Substitution 4
78'
Óscar Trejo
Yellow Card
82'
87'
A. Adams
Assist · J. A. Carmona · 0–1
S. Camello
1–1
90'
Sergio Camello
Yellow Card
90+2'
S. Becerra ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
90+3'
Peque ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 5
90+5'
Peque Fernández
Yellow Card
Sergio Camello
Red Card
90+8'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 3.80 33% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.78 57% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.98 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.28 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.17 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.43 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 5 L −1.42u −20% ROI