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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid

Match Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid September 27, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 14:15
5:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 70% · book 1.57
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.76
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.60
Total goals
7
5 · 2
xG (open play)
2.31 – 0.58
Δ +1.73
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This clash features Atletico Madrid's solid defensive setup at home against Real Madrid's potent and consistent attack on the road. Atletico's recent form shows resilience but limited scoring, while Real Madrid arrives on a strong winning streak with a high scoring output and tight defense. The game is likely to be competitive with chances at both ends, but Real Madrid's attacking edge and momentum suggest they have a slight advantage. Expect a match with goals and a good possibility of both teams scoring. The odds reflect a balanced contest with value seen in backing Real Madrid and goals over 2.5.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · REA 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ATM
67' Gallagher ↑ · Sorloth
83' Griezmann ↑ · Gonzalez
83' Galan ↑ · Hancko
90+2' Baena ↑ · Simeone
90+2' Molina ↑ · Alvarez
Subs used · REA
46' Asencio ↑ · Militao
59' Camavinga ↑ · Carvajal
59' Mastantuono ↑ · Guler
70' Rodrygo ↑ · Bellingham
89' Garcia ↑ · Huijsen

📊 Statistics

ATM 52 REA
37%
Possession (%)
63%
2.31
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.58
13
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
5
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

26 · 5 – 2
R. Le Normand
Assist · G. Simeone · 1–0
14'
Alexander Sørloth
Yellow Card
22'
25'
K. Mbappe
Assist · A. Guler · 1–1
36'
A. Guler
Assist · Vinicius Junior · 1–2
Nicolás González
Yellow Card
40'
A. Sorloth
Assist · Koke · 2–2
45'
Half-time · 2 – 2
46'
R. Asencio ↓ · Eder Militao ↑
Substitution 1
50'
Arda Güler
Yellow Card
J. Alvarez (P)
Penalty · 3–2
51'
Clément Lenglet
Yellow Card
56'
58'
Raúl Asencio
Yellow Card
59'
E. Camavinga ↓ · D. Carvajal ↑
Substitution 2
59'
F. Mastantuono ↓ · A. Guler ↑
Substitution 3
62'
Álvaro Carreras
Yellow Card
J. Alvarez
4–2
63'
C. Gallagher ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 1
67'
70'
Rodrygo ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 4
Giuliano Simeone
Yellow Card
82'
A. Griezmann ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 2
83'
J. Galan ↓ · D. Hancko ↑
Substitution 3
83'
89'
G. Garcia ↓ · D. Huijsen ↑
Substitution 5
A. Griezmann
Assist · A. Baena · 5–2
90'
A. Baena ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
N. Molina ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
Conor Gallagher
Yellow Card
90+5'
90+6'
Franco Mastantuono
Yellow Card
Full-time · 5 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.57 70% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.76 60% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.60 59% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.47 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.11 40% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.84 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.90 34% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Draw 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.51 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.28 75% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L +1.22u +12% ROI