This encounter features Osasuna, who have shown defensive solidity at home but struggle to convert chances consistently, against an Elche side with a more balanced recent form and a slightly stronger overall profile. Osasuna’s home advantage and defensive resilience suggest a competitive match with limited clear-cut chances. Elche’s away form and attacking potential keep the away win and draw possibilities alive, but the home side’s steadiness should not be underestimated. The model leans toward a tight game with moderate scoring, favoring a home win or draw outcome. Totals markets around 2.5 goals show value on the under, reflecting the expected cautious tempo and defensive discipline. BTTS is plausible but less favored given Osasuna’s defensive shape.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
OSA 3-1-4-2 · ELC 5-3-2
📊 Statistics
OSA 1 – 1 ELC39%
Possession (%)
61%
1.10
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.72
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
12
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
⏱ Match events
16 · 1 – 1V. Munoz
Assist · A. Catena · 1–0
10'
Jon Moncayola
Yellow Card
29'
32'
▮
Víctor Chust
Yellow Card
Flavien Boyomo
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
D. Affengruber ↓ · B. Diaby ↑
Substitution 1
55'
⇄
R. Mir ↓ · Andre Silva ↑
Substitution 2
69'
⇄
A. Pedrosa ↓ · H. Fort ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⇄
G. Valera ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 4
70'
⚽
E. Sarabia
Assist · E. Sarabia · 1–1
J. Cruz ↓ · I. Benito ↑
Substitution 1
72'
S. Becker ↓ · V. Munoz ↑
Substitution 2
72'
R. Garcia ↓ · A. Budimir ↑
Substitution 3
80'
84'
⇄
Josan ↓ · A. Nunez ↑
Substitution 5
85'
▮
Adrià Pedrosa
Yellow Card
K. Barja ↓ · M. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
86'
90'
⚽
A. Pedrosa
1–2
Full-time · 1 – 1
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 4 W · 6 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.10 | — | 49% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.30 | — | 29% | Cashed | +2.30 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 4.50 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.65 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.65 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.82 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.26 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.26 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Under 0.5 | 3.80 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.62 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.62 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.42 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 2.06 | — | 49% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 6 L | −2.17u | −22% ROI |