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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Union Berlin — FC Augsburg

Match Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg May 16, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 13:30
4:0
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.92
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.52
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.80
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.18 – 0.54
Δ +2.64
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.72 — +12.2% better than the market.

Bundesliga Clash at Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin faces a tough challenge against FC Augsburg, who hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. The home side’s defensive solidity contrasts with Augsburg’s more potent attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Union’s compact block will be tested. Expect a moderately paced game with limited goal-scoring chances, as both teams have shown resilience but lack consistent finishing recently.

  • Union’s home defensive strength vs Augsburg’s attacking threat
  • Recent form favors Augsburg’s momentum
  • Moderate tempo likely, under 3.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.72
AI 65% Implied 58% Value
+12.2%
Expected value

Lineups

UNI 4-2-3-1 · AUG 3-4-2-1
Subs used · UNI
64' Juranovic ↑ · Trimmel
65' Woo-Yeong ↑ · Ansah
71' Skarke ↑ · Burcu
86' Bogdanov ↑ · Burke
86' Querfeld ↑ · Ilic
Subs used · AUG
55' Massengo ↑ · Keitel
55' Ribeiro ↑ · Komur
61' Banks ↑ · Matsima
61' Pedersen ↑ · Wolf
77' Ogundu ↑ · Gregoritsch

📊 Statistics

UNI 40 AUG
49%
Possession (%)
51%
3.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
17
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 4 – 0
A. Ilic
Assist · A. Schafer · 1–0
10'
O. Burke
Yellow Card
24'
C. Trimmel
Yellow Card
26'
A. Ilic
Assist · O. Burke · 2–0
42'
Half-time · 2 – 0
A. Schafer
Assist · L. Burcu · 3–0
54'
55'
H. Massengo ↓ · Y. Keitel ↑
Substitution 1
55'
R. Ribeiro ↓ · M. Komur ↑
Substitution 2
61'
N. Banks ↓ · C. Matsima ↑
Substitution 3
61'
M. Pedersen ↓ · M. Wolf ↑
Substitution 4
63'
H. Massengo
Yellow Card
J. Juranovic ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · I. Ansah ↑
Substitution 2
65'
A. Kemlein
Yellow Card
70'
T. Skarke ↓ · L. Burcu ↑
Substitution 3
71'
77'
U. Ogundu ↓ · M. Gregoritsch ↑
Substitution 5
D. Bogdanov ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 4
86'
L. Querfeld ↓ · A. Ilic ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Jeong Woo-Yeong
4–0
89'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.92 1.91 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.52 2.30 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.80 3.05 41% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 3.00 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.90 1.75 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.02 1.91 40% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Home Win 2.69 2.66 29% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.04 2.16 29% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 1.46 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 6.49 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 22.00 20.83 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.34 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.36 1.34 60% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.59 1.59 52% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.04 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.07 80% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.37u −14% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
UNI – AUG @ 1.72
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →