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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Union Berlin

Match RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin April 24, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Fri 24 Apr · 18:30
3:1
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 37% · book 2.70 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
4.19 – 0.18
Δ +4.01
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

RB Leipzig enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Union Berlin. Their offensive firepower faces a less resilient Union defense, suggesting Leipzig's pressing and quick transitions could unlock chances. Meanwhile, Union's struggles on the road and patchy form hint at a tough outing.

  • Leipzig's home attacking edge against Union's defense
  • Recent form favors Leipzig's confidence
  • Likely moderate tempo with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · UNI 3-5-2
LEI · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · UNI 26 Vandevoordt 17 Baku ⚽ 4 Orban 5 Bitshiabu 35 Finkgräfe ⚽ 20 Ouédraogo 24 Schlager 14 Baumgartner 49 Diomande 40 Rômulo ⚽ 7 Nusa 1 Ronnow 5 Doekhi ⚽ 14 Querfeld 4 Leite 28 Trimmel 13 Schäfer 8 Khedira 19 Haberer 15 Rothe 7 Burke 23 Ilić
Subs used · LEI
68' Gruda ↑ · Cardoso ↓
68' Harder ↑ · Ouedraogo ↓
79' Bakayoko ↑ · Diomande ↓
79' Henrichs ↑ · Baku ↓
90' Gomis ↑ · Nusa ↓
Subs used · UNI
31' Klaus ↑ · Ronnow ↓
59' Ansah ↑ · Ilic ↓
60' Juranovic ↑ · Trimmel ↓
60' Kemlein ↑ · Haberer ↓
83' Burcu ↑ · Schafer ↓

📊 Statistics

LEI 3 – 1 UNI
67%
Possession (%)
33%
4.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.18
20
Total Shots
4
10
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
3
15
Shots Inside Box
2
10
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
10
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 1
M. Finkgrafe
1–0
⚽
22'
Romulo Cardoso
2–0
⚽
25'
31'
⇄
C. Klaus ↓ · F. Ronnow ↑
Substitution 1
Christoph Baumgartner
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Half-time · 2 – 0
59'
⇄
I. Ansah ↓ · A. Ilic ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
J. Juranovic ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑
Substitution 3
60'
⇄
A. Kemlein ↓ · J. Haberer ↑
Substitution 4
R. Baku
Assist · Y. Diomande · 3–0
⚽
63'
B. Gruda ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
C. Harder ↓ · A. Ouedraogo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
78'
⚽
D. Doekhi
Assist · J. Juranovic · 3–1
J. Bakayoko ↓ · Y. Diomande ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
83'
⇄
L. Burcu ↓ · A. Schafer ↑
Substitution 5
84'
▮
Diogo Leite
Yellow Card
T. Gomis ↓ · A. Nusa ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.70 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 55% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.36 — 41% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
BTTS No 2.06 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.39 — 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.09 — 92% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 — 63% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.11 — 74% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Draw 5.49 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 — 83% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.80 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.32 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.40 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.49u −32% ROI