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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — FC St. Pauli

Match SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli November 9, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.88 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.92 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.98 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.01 – 0.44
Δ +0.57
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Freiburg holds a clear quality edge over FC St. Pauli, reflected in their stronger defensive record and home momentum with recent unbeaten runs. Despite similar recent points per game, Freiburg's home edge and more robust defense suggest they can control the match tempo and limit St. Pauli's attacking threats. Expect a tactical battle where Freiburg's compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Freiburg's recent form stability
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · PAU 3-4-3
FRE · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · PAU 1 Atubolu 29 Treu 28 Ginter 3 Lienhart 30 Günter 8 Eggestein ⚽ 44 Manzambi 19 Beste 14 Suzuki ⚽ 32 Grifo 20 Adamu 22 Vasilj 5 Wahl 8 Smith 3 Mets 11 Pyrka 6 Sands 16 Fujita 23 Oppie ⚽ 24 Metcalfe 19 Kaars 28 Lage
Subs used · FRE
58' Makengo ↑ · Gunter ↓
58' Matanovic ↑ · Adamu ↓
58' Scherhant ↑ · Grifo ↓
71' Osterhage ↑ · Suzuki ↓
88' Rosenfelder ↑ · Beste ↓
Subs used · PAU
59' Hountondji ↑ · Kaars ↓
68' Irvine ↑ · Sands ↓
82' Ceesay ↑ · Mets ↓
82' Sinani ↑ · Metcalfe ↓

📊 Statistics

FRE 2 – 1 PAU
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
8
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
4
8
Fouls
12
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1
Y. Suzuki
1–0
⚽
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
M. Eggestein
Assist · J. Beste · 2–0
⚽
50'
J. Makengo ↓ · C. Gunter ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
I. Matanovic ↓ · J. Adamu ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
D. Scherhant ↓ · V. Grifo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
58'
59'
⇄
A. Hountondji ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
J. Irvine ↓ · J. Sands ↑
Substitution 2
69'
⚽
L. Oppie
Assist · C. Metcalfe · 2–1
P. Osterhage ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
Maximilian Eggestein
Yellow Card
▮
81'
82'
⇄
A. Ceesay ↓ · K. Mets ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
D. Sinani ↓ · C. Metcalfe ↑
Substitution 4
Jan-Niklas Beste
Yellow Card
▮
84'
84'
▮
Danel Sinani
Yellow Card
M. Rosenfelder ↓ · J. Beste ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
90+2'
▮
Joel Chima Fujita
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.88 — 60% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.98 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 — 48% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 50% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.04 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 — 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 — 60% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.70 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 — 73% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.34 — 73% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.80 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.57 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.26 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.81u −28% ROI