This matchup features Union Berlin, who have shown a solid overall profile and a clear home advantage, against Hamburger SV, a side with a more cautious away approach and less attacking threat. Union Berlin's recent form is mixed but they tend to create better quality chances at home, while Hamburger SV's defense is relatively resilient but their attack struggles to produce consistently on the road. The model anticipates a competitive game with a slight edge to the home side, favoring a home win but with a notable chance of a draw. Goals are likely to be moderate, supporting a market leaning towards over 1.5 goals but under 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring is probable given the attacking and defensive traits, but not overwhelmingly so. Asian handicap markets on the home side also show value given the home team's stronger profile and venue advantage.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
UNI 3-4-2-1 · HAM 3-4-3
📊 Statistics
UNI 0 – 0 HAM34%
Possession (%)
66%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.09
11
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
17
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
⏱ Match events
15 · 0 – 0Andrej Ilić (P)
Penalty · 1–0
10'
38'
▮
Miro Muheim
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
András Schäfer ↓ · Janik Haberer ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Tim Skarke ↓ · Oliver Burke ↑
Substitution 2
59'
71'
▮
Rayan Philippe
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
Guilherme Ramos ↓ · Warmed Omari ↑
Substitution 1
76'
⇄
Robert Glatzel ↓ · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer ↑
Substitution 2
76'
⇄
Albert Sambi Lokonga ↓ · Rayan Philippe ↑
Substitution 3
Leopold Querfeld
Yellow Card
79'
Tom Rothe ↓ · Derrick Köhn ↑
Substitution 3
80'
82'
⇄
Nicolás Capaldo ↓ · Miro Muheim ↑
Substitution 4
Woo-Yeong Jeong ↓ · Ilyas Ansah ↑
Substitution 4
89'
90'
⇄
William Mikelbrencis ↓ · Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑
Substitution 5
Christopher Trimmel
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+8'
▮
Fábio Vieira
Red Card
Full-time · 0 – 0
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 3 W · 6 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.72 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.27 | — | 75% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.08 | — | 55% | Cashed | +1.08 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.33 | — | 76% | Cashed | +0.33 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.53 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.20 | — | 85% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.15 | — | 49% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.65 | — | 27% | Cashed | +2.65 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.68 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 3 W · 6 L | −1.94u | −22% ROI |