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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Estrela

Match Sporting CP vs Estrela November 30, 2025

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 18:00
4:0
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.55
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.12
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 52% · book 1.84
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.65 – 0.11
Δ +2.54
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Estrela. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting opportunities to break through. The home side's compact block and pressing edge should limit Estrela’s chances, while the away team’s inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities hint at a challenging night.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailties
  • Sporting’s recent winning streak and home comfort
  • Likely moderate pace with goal-scoring chances favored

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · EST 3-4-3
Subs used · SPO
46' Reis ↑ · Araujo
60' Goncalves ↑ · Catamo
60' Vagiannidis ↑ · Fresneda
78' Kochorashvili ↑ · Hjulmand
78' Santos ↑ · Trincao
Subs used · EST
33' Otavio ↑ · Chernev
46' Stoica ↑ · Montoia
66' Robinho ↑ · Jovane
79' Pinho ↑ · Kikas
79' Gastao ↑ · Marcus

📊 Statistics

SPO 40 EST
63%
Possession (%)
37%
2.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.11
19
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
1
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
12
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 4 – 0
E. Quaresma
Assist · Trincao · 1–0
7'
L. Suarez
Assist · Trincao · 2–0
11'
I. Fresneda
3–0
25'
Maximiliano Araújo
Yellow Card
27'
33'
Otavio ↓ · A. Chernev ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 3 – 0
Matheus Reis ↓ · M. Araujo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
I. Stoica ↓ · G. Montoia ↑
Substitution 2
L. Suarez
Assist · H. Morita · 4–0
54'
P. Goncalves ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 2
60'
G. Vagiannidis ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑
Substitution 3
60'
66'
Robinho ↓ · Jovane ↑
Substitution 3
G. Kochorashvili ↓ · M. Hjulmand ↑
Substitution 4
78'
Alisson Santos ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 5
78'
79'
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ · Kikas ↑
Substitution 4
79'
J. Gastao ↓ · A. Marcus ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.55 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.12 48% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.84 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.30 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.90 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 98% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.45 69% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Home Win 1.13 86% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.95 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.57 53% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 87% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 30.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 20.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 9 L −6.53u −41% ROI