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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — SC Braga

Match Sporting CP vs SC Braga October 5, 2025

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 18:15
1:1
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95
Miss
AH Home -1
AH Home -1
AI 55% · book 1.83
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.52
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.75 – 1.33
Δ +0.42
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP vs SC Braga profiles as a favorite-driven contest in Lisbon. Sporting carry the stronger all-round game and home edge, while Braga’s attack is capable enough to keep this from becoming a procession. Our baseline leans Sporting with moderate totals and a slight tilt toward one-way territory control.

Game state is key: if Sporting score first, the match can open up into a 2–1/3–1 type script; if Braga hold early phases, longer spells of cautious buildup may follow. Core markets price fairly; the clearest practical angles are conservative host-sided positions and a mild lean against both teams scoring.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · SPO
64' Kochorashvili ↑ · Morita
64' Santos ↑ · Trincao
73' Ioannidis ↑ · Suarez
90' Catamo ↑ · Quenda
90' Fresneda ↑ · Vagiannidis
Subs used · BRA
46' Navarro ↑ · Victor
54' Gorby ↑ · Moutinho
73' Arrey-Mbi ↑ · Niakate
73' Martinez ↑ · Gomez
83' Vidigal ↑ · Lelo

📊 Statistics

SPO 11 BRA
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
13
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
19
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
4
Yellow Cards
5
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 1 – 1
L. Suarez
1–0
19'
Pedro Gonçalves
Yellow Card
39'
Luis Javier Suárez
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
F. Navarro ↓ · P. Victor ↑
Substitution 1
54'
Gorby ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑
Substitution 2
G. Kochorashvili ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Alisson Santos ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 2
64'
F. Ioannidis ↓ · L. Suarez ↑
Substitution 3
73'
73'
B. Arrey-Mbi ↓ · S. Niakate ↑
Substitution 3
73'
G. Martinez ↓ · V. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
75'
Vítor Carvalho
Yellow Card
76'
Fran Navarro
Yellow Card
77'
Rodrigo Zalazar
Yellow Card
Zeno Debast
Yellow Card
80'
83'
S. Vidigal ↓ · L. Lelo ↑
Substitution 5
G. Catamo ↓ · G. Quenda ↑
Substitution 4
90'
I. Fresneda ↓ · G. Vagiannidis ↑
Substitution 5
90'
90'
R. Zalazar (P)
Penalty · 1–1
90+3'
Gabriel Martínez
Yellow Card
Morten Hjulmand
Yellow Card
90+6'
90+11'
Florian Grillitsch
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.95 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -1 1.83 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.52 66% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Away Win 7.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 43% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.49 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 5 L −3.23u −46% ROI