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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Moreirense

Match Nacional vs Moreirense October 4, 2025

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 72% · book 1.63
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 39% · book 3.30
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 38% · book 3.35
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.73 – 2.09
Δ +0.64
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nacional vs Moreirense — betting preview

This sets up as a measured, defense-first matchup. Nacional’s home edge looks modest, while Moreirense carry the stronger overall profile and steadier away form. Expect controlled chance quality and long stretches of chess-like play — unders and protective away angles screen as the clearest paths. Secondary angles: the draw remains live in a tight game state, and the away win is fairly priced if you want more upside.

Main risks: an early goal flipping the script; set-piece volatility.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAC 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-3-3
Subs used · NAC
76' Soares ↑ · Labidi
81' Witi ↑ · Ruan
90+1' Sousa ↑ · Liziero
Subs used · MOR
70' Bernardo ↑ · Alanzinho
70' Batista ↑ · Bondoso
70' Landerson ↑ · Maranhao
85' Teguia ↑ · Travassos

📊 Statistics

NAC 32 MOR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.09
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
16
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 3 – 2
4'
V. Sousa
Assist · D. Pinto · 0–1
15'
Maracás
Yellow Card
J. Ramirez (P)
Penalty · 1–1
21'
30'
Yan Maranhão
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
Ze Vitor
Yellow Card
50'
56'
Kiko
Assist · Yan Maranhao · 1–2
Leo Santos
Assist · Liziero · 2–2
59'
62'
Vasco Sousa
Red Card
70'
Bernardo ↓ · Alanzinho ↑
Substitution 1
70'
G. Batista ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 2
70'
Landerson ↓ · Yan Maranhao ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Mateja Stjepanović
Yellow Card
F. Soares ↓ · C. Labidi ↑
Substitution 1
76'
Witi ↓ · Pablo Ruan ↑
Substitution 2
81'
J. Ramirez (P)
Penalty · 3–2
84'
85'
C. Teguia ↓ · Travassos ↑
Substitution 4
A. Sousa ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.63 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.30 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5 3.35 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.65 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.88 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.40 31% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −4.60u −66% ROI