P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brentford — Arsenal

Match Brentford vs Arsenal February 12, 2026

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brentford
Brentford
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Thu 12 Feb · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Brentford Community Stadium · London Referee John Brooks, England
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.93
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 63% · book 1.75
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.87
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.29 – 0.60
Δ +0.69
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.93 — +12.3% better than the market.

Arsenal arrive at Brentford Community Stadium with a clear quality edge and a pressing offensive threat, despite Brentford's stronger recent form at home. Arsenal's defensive struggles may be tested by Brentford's sharp attack, but the visitors' overall class and higher adjusted strength suggest they will control the game tempo. Expect a lively encounter with chances at both ends, leaning towards an Arsenal win given their superior quality and tactical flexibility.

  • Arsenal's offensive edge vs Brentford's defense
  • Brentford's home momentum and set-piece threat
  • Potential for open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.93 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BRE
73' Henderson ↑ · Yarmolyuk
73' Damsgaard ↑ · Lewis-Potter
90+5' Hickey ↑ · Henry
Subs used · ARS
46' Odegaard ↑ · Eze
70' Saka ↑ · Madueke
81' Calafiori ↑ · Hincapie
81' Martinelli ↑ · Trossard

📊 Statistics

BRE 11 ARS
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.29
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
12
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
11
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
Vitaly Janelt
Yellow Card
4'
20'
Gabriel Magalhães
Yellow Card
30'
Viktor Gyökeres
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
M. Odegaard ↓ · E. Eze ↑
Substitution 1
Mathias Jensen
Yellow Card
53'
61'
N. Madueke
Assist · P. Hincapie · 0–1
70'
B. Saka ↓ · N. Madueke ↑
Substitution 2
K. Lewis-Potter
Assist · S. van den Berg · 1–1
71'
J. Henderson ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑
Substitution 1
73'
M. Damsgaard ↓ · K. Lewis-Potter ↑
Substitution 2
73'
81'
R. Calafiori ↓ · P. Hincapie ↑
Substitution 3
81'
G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑
Substitution 4
Dango Ouattara
Yellow Card
86'
A. Hickey ↓ · R. Henry ↑
Substitution 3
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.93 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.75 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.87 58% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS No 2.02 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.02 42% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.27 37% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.21 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.29 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 80% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.16 23% Cashed +3.16 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.38 63% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.30 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.82 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.74u −10% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
BRE – ARS @ 1.93
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →