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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Paris FC — Paris Saint Germain

Match Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain May 17, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Paris FC
Paris FC
Home · last 5 W L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade Jean Bouin · Paris Referee G. Paradis
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.60
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.63
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.84
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.13 – 0.62
Δ +1.51
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain arrive with a clear quality edge and a potent attack facing a resilient but less dynamic Paris FC defense. Despite Paris FC's recent home momentum, PSG's offensive firepower and overall strength suggest they will control the game tempo. The home side's defensive solidity may limit the goal count, hinting at a tactical battle with moments of high pressing from PSG.

  • PSG's superior attacking threat against Paris FC's sturdy defense
  • Home side's recent form shows fighting spirit
  • Likely moderate pace with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAR 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3
Subs used · PAR
67' Lopez ↑ · Simon
67' Gory ↑ · Ikone
67' Kebbal ↑ · Munetsi
68' Koleosho ↑ · Geubbels
77' Marchetti ↑ · Matondo
84' Traore ↑ · Otavio
Subs used · PSG
27' Ramos ↑ · Dembele
46' Fernandez ↑ · Lucea
58' Kang-In ↑ · Zaire-Emery
58' Mbaye ↑ · Barcola
58' Mayulu ↑ · Kvaratskhelia
68' Neves ↑ · Vitinha

📊 Statistics

PAR 21 PSG
37%
Possession (%)
63%
2.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
17
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
7
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
9
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
27'
G. Ramos ↓ · O. Dembele ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
D. Fernandez ↓ · D. Lucea ↑
Substitution 2
50'
B. Barcola
Assist · F. Ruiz · 0–1
58'
Lee Kang-In ↓ · W. Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 3
58'
I. Mbaye ↓ · B. Barcola ↑
Substitution 4
58'
S. Mayulu ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 5
M. Lopez ↓ · M. Simon ↑
Substitution 1
67'
A. Gory ↓ · J. Ikone ↑
Substitution 2
67'
I. Kebbal ↓ · M. Munetsi ↑
Substitution 3
67'
L. Koleosho ↓ · W. Geubbels ↑
Substitution 4
68'
68'
J. Neves ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 6
A. Gory
Assist · P. Lees-Melou · 1–1
76'
V. Marchetti ↓ · R. Matondo ↑
Substitution 5
77'
H. Traore ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 6
84'
M. Lopez
Yellow Card
90+1'
A. Gory
Yellow Card
90+4'
A. Gory
Assist · L. Koleosho · 2–1
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.60 1.57 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 2.59 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.84 1.80 54% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.11 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.50 2.34 34% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.19 1.18 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.10 3.00 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 1.38 68% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 1.44 62% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.20 1.23 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.88 4.63 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.10 86% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 6.49 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.50 5.00 13% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 4.40 3.77 13% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +3.25u +22% ROI