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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Metz — Lorient

Match Metz vs Lorient May 10, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
0:4
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Referee Jeremy Stinat, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.22
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.23
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.30
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.45 – 2.34
Δ −1.89
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.23 — +13.2% better than the market.

Lorient arrive with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz’s defensive solidity could keep things tight, but Lorient’s sharper attack and consistent away momentum hint at a controlled game favoring the visitors. The moderate pace implied by odds supports a balanced tempo with tactical discipline.

  • Lorient’s offensive edge challenges Metz’s defense.
  • Home side’s recent struggles limit attacking threat.
  • Game likely to feature cautious buildup and few clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.23 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MET 4-2-3-1 · LOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · MET
40' Abuashvili ↑ · Mbala
64' Diallo ↑ · Kvilitaia
65' Stambouli ↑ · Kouao
76' Munongo ↑ · Gbamin
Subs used · LOR
62' Pagis ↑ · Karim
62' Toure ↑ · Faye
74' Dieng ↑ · Tosin
74' Avom ↑ · Makengo
90+5' Silva ↑ · Katseris

📊 Statistics

MET 04 LOR
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.34
8
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 0 – 4
S. Sane
Yellow Card
9'
15'
A. Faye
Yellow Card
G. Tsitaishvili
Yellow Card
23'
24'
J. Makengo
Assist · A. Kouassi · 0–1
G. Abuashvili ↓ · N. Mbala ↑
Substitution 1
40'
42'
J. Makengo
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
62'
P. Pagis ↓ · D. Karim ↑
Substitution 1
62'
I. Toure ↓ · A. Faye ↑
Substitution 2
H. Diallo ↓ · G. Kvilitaia ↑
Substitution 2
64'
B. Stambouli ↓ · K. Kouao ↑
Substitution 3
65'
74'
B. Dieng ↓ · A. Tosin ↑
Substitution 3
74'
A. Avom ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 4
B. Munongo ↓ · J. Gbamin ↑
Substitution 4
76'
84'
B. Dieng
Assist · P. Pagis · 0–2
90+5'
Igor Silva ↓ · P. Katseris ↑
Substitution 5
90+7'
A. Avom
Assist · P. Pagis · 0–3
90+8'
N. Cadiou
0–4
Full-time · 0 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.22 2.23 53% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.23 2.20 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 2.38 48% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.65 1.66 53% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.76 1.67 49% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.53 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.74 1.67 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 2.55 28% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.45 2.30 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.37 1.36 77% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.46 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 12.99 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.80 3.60 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 1.18 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Home Win 3.37 3.05 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.69u −16% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
MET – LOR @ 2.23
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →