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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Metz — Monaco

Match Metz vs Monaco May 2, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Ruddy Buquet, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 2.22
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.50
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 1.81
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.03 – 1.05
Δ −0.02
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.90 — +13.3% better than the market.

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive strength contrasts with Metz's vulnerable defense, hinting at potential pressure on the home side's backline. Metz's home momentum is limited by a compact but less effective defensive setup, while Monaco's ability to exploit spaces could be decisive.

  • Monaco's attacking edge against Metz's defense
  • Home side's recent struggles and low scoring form
  • Expectation of a controlled tempo favoring away side's tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.90
AI 60% Implied 53% Value
+13.3%
Expected value

Lineups

MET 4-2-3-1 · MON 3-4-2-1
Subs used · MET
74' Munongo ↑ · Stambouli
74' Abuashvili ↑ · Mbala
82' Pandore ↑ · Deminguet
82' Diallo ↑ · Kvilitaia
Subs used · MON
58' Bamba ↑ · Pogba
58' Fati ↑ · Adingra
58' Coulibaly ↑ · Camara
74' Biereth ↑ · Golovin
84' Henrique ↑ · Mawissa

📊 Statistics

MET 12 MON
35%
Possession (%)
65%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.05
13
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
15
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

14 · 1 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Deminguet
Assist · G. Hein · 1–0
49'
58'
A. Bamba ↓ · P. Pogba ↑
Substitution 1
58'
A. Fati ↓ · S. Adingra ↑
Substitution 2
58'
M. Coulibaly ↓ · L. Camara ↑
Substitution 3
61'
F. Balogun
Assist · M. Akliouche · 1–1
62'
M. Coulibaly
Yellow Card
B. Munongo ↓ · B. Stambouli ↑
Substitution 1
74'
G. Abuashvili ↓ · N. Mbala ↑
Substitution 2
74'
74'
M. Biereth ↓ · A. Golovin ↑
Substitution 4
81'
C. Mawissa
Yellow Card
J. Pandore ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 3
82'
H. Diallo ↓ · G. Kvilitaia ↑
Substitution 4
82'
84'
Caio Henrique ↓ · C. Mawissa ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
A. Fati
Assist · Caio Henrique · 1–2
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.22 2.10 55% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS No 2.50 2.62 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.81 1.73 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.60 3.56 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.45 1.35 70% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 8.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.12 1.10 89% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.44 58% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.96 3.13 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.30 1.25 65% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.16 1.12 70% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Draw 5.43 5.62 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.05 82% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Home Win 6.96 7.52 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.25 5.49 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −5.07u −34% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
MET – MON @ 1.90
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →