Match Lille vs Lens April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.86 — +8.4% better than the market.

Ligue 1 Clash: Lille vs Lens

Lille hosts Lens in a match where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall squad metrics. Lens's offensive prowess challenges Lille's defense, while Lille's home form shows resilience and a slight momentum advantage. Expect a tactical battle with Lens pushing forward and Lille relying on a compact block and counter-attacks. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a decent chance for goals, fitting the teams' attacking styles and recent form.

Lens's attacking threat vs Lille's defensive shape
Home momentum favors Lille's resilience
Moderate pace hints at balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIL 4-2-3-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1

LIL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · LEN

7 Fernández ⚽

Subs used · LIL

73'

Giroud ↑ ·

Correia ↓

73'

Andre ↑ ·

Haraldsson ↓

80'

Mbappe ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

80'

Perrin ↑ ·

Fernandez-Pardo ↓

90+4'

Verdonk ↑ ·

Perraud ↓

Subs used · LEN

55'

Saint-Maximin ↑ ·

Said ↓

55'

Haidara ↑ ·

Celik ↓

67'

Sotoca ↑ ·

Thomasson ↓

85'

Bulatovic ↑ ·

Thauvin ↓

85'

Fofana ↑ ·

Edouard ↓

📊 Statistics

LIL 3 – 0 LEN

56%

Possession (%)

44%

3.63

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 0

H. Haraldsson

Assist · M. Fernandez-Pardo · 1–0

⚽

44'

Half-time · 1 – 0

F. Correia

2–0

⚽

49'

Nathan Ngoy

Yellow Card

▮

45+5'

▮

Adrien Thomasson

Yellow Card

55'

⇄

A. Saint-Maximin ↓ · W. Said ↑

Substitution 1

55'

⇄

A. Haidara ↓ · N. Celik ↑

Substitution 2

M. Fernandez-Pardo (P)

Penalty · 3–0

⚽

58'

67'

⇄

F. Sotoca ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑

Substitution 3

Berke Özer

Yellow Card

▮

71'

O. Giroud ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

B. Andre ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

78'

▮

Saud Abdulhamid

Yellow Card

E. Mbappe ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

G. Perrin ↓ · M. Fernandez-Pardo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

85'

⇄

A. Bulatovic ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑

Substitution 5

Ethan Mbappé

Yellow Card

▮

90'

C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.86	—	58%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Away Win	2.76	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	40%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.98	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.73	—	29%	Cashed	+1.73	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.97	—	29%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	64%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.51	—	55%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.87u	−17% ROI