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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Lorient

Match Toulouse vs Lorient March 21, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.08 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.22 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.15 – 0.40
Δ +0.75
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Toulouse holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stadium de Toulouse. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Lorient's less robust backline, offering Toulouse a pressing edge. However, recent form shows both sides struggling for consistency, hinting at a tight contest.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Modest home momentum
  • Balanced recent form with slight home edge

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

TOU 3-4-3 · LOR 3-4-2-1
TOU · 3-4-3 3-4-2-1 · LOR 1 Restes 3 McKenzie 35 Koumbassa 2 Nicolaisen 15 Dønnum 23 Cásseres 18 Diop 19 Sidibé 11 Hidalgo 13 Russell-Rowe 10 Gboho 38 Mvogo 44 Yongwa 32 Adjei 25 Faye 11 Bris 8 Cadiou 62 Ebong 43 Kouassi 17 Makengo 29 Dermane 12 Dieng
Subs used · TOU
64' Emersonn ↑ · Russell-Rowe ↓
65' Kamanzi ↑ · Hidalgo ↓
84' Sauer ↑ · Sidibe ↓
Subs used · LOR
73' Tosin ↑ · Karim ↓
73' Soumano ↑ · Dieng ↓
79' Katseris ↑ · Le Bris ↓

📊 Statistics

TOU 1 – 0 LOR
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.40
12
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
3
1
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Santiago Hidalgo
Yellow Card
▮
5'
Half-time · 0 – 0
47'
▮
Noah Cadiou
Yellow Card
Emersonn ↓ · J. Russell-Rowe ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
W. Kamanzi ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
70'
▮
Abdoulaye Faye
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
A. Tosin ↓ · D. Karim ↑
Substitution 1
73'
⇄
S. Soumano ↓ · B. Dieng ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
P. Katseris ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 3
Emersonn
Assist · C. Casseres · 1–0
⚽
81'
M. Sauer ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
84'
Aron Dønnum
Yellow Card
▮
86'
90+10'
▮
Jean-Victor Makengo
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.08 — 54% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.22 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.97 — 49% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.77 — 53% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.91 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 82% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 — 54% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.00 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.39 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 91% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 — 74% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.31 — 28% Cashed +2.31 Cashed
Draw 3.25 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.75 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.21 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.81u −17% ROI