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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Lille

Match Marseille vs Lille March 22, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 59% · book 1.71 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.60 – 0.97
Δ −0.37
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack and a compact defense that challenges Lille's offense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Lille's away struggles and slightly weaker defense suggest Marseille can control the pace. Expect a lively game with Marseille pressing high and exploiting set-piece chances.

  • Home attacking edge vs Lille's defense
  • Marseille's solid recent form
  • Likely open tempo favoring Marseille's pressing style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LIL 1 Rulli 22 Weah 5 Balerdi 32 Medina 33 Palmieri 23 Højbjerg 19 Kondogbia 10 Greenwood 27 Timber 14 Paixão 17 Aubameyang 1 Özer 12 Meunier ⚽ 3 Ngoy 23 Mandi 24 Verdonk 6 Bentaleb 32 Bouaddi 17 Mukau 10 Haraldsson 27 Correia 7 Fernández
Subs used · MAR
18' Nwaneri ↑ · Greenwood ↓
65' Gouiri ↑ · Kondogbia ↓
75' J. Traore ↑
90' Nadir ↑ · Timber ↓
Subs used · LIL
45+8' Bodart ↑ · Ozer ↓
78' Giroud ↑ · Correia ↓
78' Perraud ↑ · Verdonk ↓
90' Mbemba ↑ · Haraldsson ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 1 – 2 LIL
55%
Possession (%)
45%
0.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.97
14
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
6
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 2
1'
▮
Nathan Ngoy
Yellow Card
Mason Greenwood
Yellow Card
▮
13'
13'
▮
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Yellow Card
13'
▮
Calvin Verdonk
Yellow Card
E. Nwaneri ↓ · M. Greenwood ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
18'
E. Nwaneri
Assist · I. Paixao · 1–0
⚽
43'
Half-time · 1 – 0
49'
⚽
T. Meunier
1–1
45+8'
⇄
A. Bodart ↓ · B. Ozer ↑
Substitution 1
A. Gouiri ↓ · G. Kondogbia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
H. J. Traore ↓ ·
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
78'
⇄
O. Giroud ↓ · F. Correia ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
R. Perraud ↓ · C. Verdonk ↑
Substitution 3
86'
⚽
O. Giroud
Assist · T. Meunier · 1–2
B. Nadir ↓ · Q. Timber ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
90'
⇄
C. Mbemba ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.94 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.84 — 59% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.71 — 59% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.12 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.96 — 41% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.42 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 — 63% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 — 81% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.03 — 18% Cashed +2.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.11 — 18% Cashed +3.11 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.62u −4% ROI