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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Nantes

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes April 22, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Clement Turpin, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.15 – 0.87
Δ +1.28
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.91 — +8.5% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain enter this Ligue 1 clash with strong home momentum and a clear quality edge over Nantes. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled recently, while PSG's compact block and set-piece threat add to their advantage. Nantes' recent form shows signs of struggle, making it tough to contain PSG's pressing edge at Parc des Princes.

  • Home side's offensive firepower vs away defensive frailties
  • PSG's solid recent form contrasts with Nantes' dips
  • Likely open game given attacking tendencies and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 52% +0.91u
+91%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · NAN 5-3-2
PSG · 4-3-3 5-3-2 · NAN 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 5 Marquinhos 6 Zabarnyi 33 Zaïre-Emery 87 Neves 4 Beraldo 27 Fernández 14 Doué ⚽ 10 Dembélé 7 Kvaratskhelia ⚽ 1 Lopes 22 Acapandié 24 Guilbert 2 Youssef 3 Cozza 27 Machado 8 Lepenant 28 Sissoko 66 Leroux 31 Mohamed 10 Abline
Subs used · PSG
60' Ruiz ↑ · Neves ↓
60' Mayulu ↑ · Zaire-Emery ↓
60' Hernandez ↑ · Hakimi ↓
65' Barcola ↑ · Dembele ↓
65' Mbaye ↑ · Kvaratskhelia ↓
Subs used · NAN
65' Ganago ↑ · Mohamed ↓
65' Tabibou ↑ · Leroux ↓
73' Deuff ↑ · Lepenant ↓
79' Awaziem ↑ · Acapandie ↓
80' El Arabi ↑ · Abline ↓

📊 Statistics

PSG 3 – 0 NAN
70%
Possession (%)
30%
2.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.87
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0
K. Kvaratskhelia (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
13'
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Yellow Card
▮
35'
D. Doue
Assist · A. Hakimi · 2–0
⚽
37'
Ilya Zabarnyi
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
▮
Frederic Guilbert
Yellow Card
K. Kvaratskhelia
Assist · O. Dembele · 3–0
⚽
50'
F. Ruiz ↓ · J. Neves ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
S. Mayulu ↓ · W. Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
L. Hernandez ↓ · A. Hakimi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
B. Barcola ↓ · O. Dembele ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
65'
I. Mbaye ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
65'
65'
⇄
I. Ganago ↓ · Mostafa Mohamed ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
D. Tabibou ↓ · L. Leroux ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
B. Deuff ↓ · J. Lepenant ↑
Substitution 3
79'
⇄
C. Awaziem ↓ · M. Acapandie ↑
Substitution 4
80'
⇄
Y. El Arabi ↓ · M. Abline ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.91 — 57% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 — 49% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.99 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.20 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.25 — 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 — 78% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 6.55 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 — 84% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.36 — 65% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 13.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.80 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −5.33u −36% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
PSG – NAN @ 1.91
+8.5%
Edge
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