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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Rennes — Toulouse

Match Rennes vs Toulouse February 28, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Stephanie Frappart, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.10
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.73
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.92 – 0.49
Δ +0.43
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rennes hold a slight quality edge and benefit from a moderate home advantage at Roazhon Park. Their offensive strength pairs well against Toulouse's leaky defense, suggesting Rennes can press effectively and create chances. Despite recent mixed form, Rennes' higher scoring potential and home momentum could tilt the balance.

  • Home attacking edge vs away defense
  • Rennes' better recent points per game
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · TOU 3-4-2-1
Subs used · REN
73' Blas ↑ · Tamari
73' Cisse ↑ · Szymanski
81' Embolo ↑ · Lepaul
90' Mukiele ↑ · Nordin
Subs used · TOU
46' Emersonn ↑ · Vignolo
74' Sauer ↑ · Vossah
81' Russell-Rowe ↑ · Kamanzi

📊 Statistics

REN 10 TOU
65%
Possession (%)
35%
0.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.49
10
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Esteban Lepaul
Yellow Card
24'
A. Nordin
1–0
27'
42'
Pape Diop
Yellow Card
45+1'
Charlie Cresswell
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Emersonn ↓ · J. Vignolo ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Alexis Vossah
Yellow Card
L. Blas ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 1
73'
D. Cisse ↓ · S. Szymanski ↑
Substitution 2
73'
74'
M. Sauer ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 2
B. Embolo ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑
Substitution 3
81'
81'
J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · W. Kamanzi ↑
Substitution 3
N. Mukiele ↓ · A. Nordin ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.10 54% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.92 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 43% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.02 45% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.83 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.75 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.31 79% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.49 54% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 67% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Draw 3.66 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.94 22% Cashed +2.94 Cashed
Away Win 3.78 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.46u −9% ROI