Match Marseille vs Lyon March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille vs Lyon Preview

Marseille holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Orange Vélodrome. Despite Marseille's mixed recent form, Lyon's strong winning streak is impressive but faces a tough defensive challenge. Expect a tactical battle where Marseille's offensive pressure meets Lyon's compact defense, with a likely competitive pace and goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.

Marseille's home momentum and offensive edge
Lyon's solid defensive setup
Recent form favors Lyon but quality gap supports Marseille

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · LYO 4-3-1-2

MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · LYO

17 Aubameyang ⚽

Subs used · MAR

46'

Paixao ↑ ·

Timber ↓

63'

Nwaneri ↑ ·

J. Traore ↓

84'

Pavard ↑ ·

Weah ↓

85'

Abdelli ↑ ·

Kondogbia ↓

90+4'

Nnadi ↑ ·

Greenwood ↓

Subs used · LYO

60'

Himbert ↑ ·

Yaremchuk ↓

88'

Vinicius ↑ ·

Tagliafico ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 3 – 2 LYO

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 2

⚽

C. Tolisso

Assist · Endrick · 0–1

30'

▮

Clinton Mata

Yellow Card

45+1'

▮

Tyler Morton

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

I. Paixao ↓ · Q. Timber ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

I. Paixao

Assist · P. Hojbjerg · 1–1

⚽

52'

60'

⇄

R. Himbert ↓ · R. Yaremchuk ↑

Substitution 1

E. Nwaneri ↓ · H. J. Traore ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Geoffrey Kondogbia

Yellow Card

▮

74'

76'

⚽

R. Himbert

Assist · Endrick · 1–2

P. Aubameyang

Assist · I. Paixao · 2–2

⚽

81'

Nayef Aguerd

Yellow Card

▮

83'

B. Pavard ↓ · T. Weah ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

H. Abdelli ↓ · G. Kondogbia ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

88'

⇄

Abner Vinicius ↓ · N. Tagliafico ↑

Substitution 2

P. Aubameyang

Assist · E. Nwaneri · 3–2

⚽

90'

T. Nnadi ↓ · M. Greenwood ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+4'

Himad Abdelli

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.01	—	57%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.75	—	59%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	37%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	60%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.36	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.89	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.80	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	81%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.50	—	57%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	80%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Draw	3.86	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.40	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.86	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.78u	−22% ROI