P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lens — Monaco

Match Lens vs Monaco February 21, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 16:00
2:3
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Willy Delajod, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.71
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.30
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 37% · book 2.62
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.61 – 1.95
Δ −0.34
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lens enters this Ligue 1 clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Monaco's attack. Their recent form shows resilience, while Monaco struggles to convert chances consistently. The home side's pressing edge and tactical discipline could limit Monaco's opportunities, suggesting a controlled pace with potential for goals but a clear home advantage.

  • Lens' compact block and defensive solidity
  • Monaco's difficulty breaking down organized defenses
  • Home crowd support boosting Lens' confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · MON 3-1-4-2
Subs used · LEN
63' Sima ↑ · Edouard
75' Aguilar ↑ · Abdulhamid
75' Fofana ↑ · Saint-Maximin
87' Sotoca ↑ · Bulatovic
87' Bermont
Subs used · MON
31' Bamba ↑ · Diatta
69' Fati ↑ · Adingra
85' Biereth ↑ · Balogun

📊 Statistics

LEN 23 MON
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.95
19
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
12
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 3
O. Edouard
Assist · A. Thomasson · 1–0
3'
31'
A. Bamba ↓ · K. Diatta ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
F. Thauvin
2–0
56'
62'
F. Balogun
Assist · M. Coulibaly · 2–1
A. Sima ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 1
63'
69'
A. Fati ↓ · S. Adingra ↑
Substitution 2
70'
D. Zakaria
Assist · Caio Henrique · 2–2
72'
A. Fati
2–3
Saud Abdulhamid
Yellow Card
74'
R. Aguilar ↓ · S. Abdulhamid ↑
Substitution 2
75'
R. Fofana ↓ · A. Saint-Maximin ↑
Substitution 3
75'
85'
M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 3
F. Sotoca ↓ · A. Bulatovic ↑
Substitution 4
87'
A. Bermont ↓ ·
Substitution 5
87'
90+2'
Wout Faes
Yellow Card
Ismaelo Ganiou
Yellow Card
90+4'
90+6'
Jordan Teze
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.71 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.30 44% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.62 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.72 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.70 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.31 36% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.40 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.52 65% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 63% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 85% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Draw 4.47 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.87 15% Cashed +3.87 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.69 15% Cashed +2.69 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.43u +8% ROI