P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Paris FC

Match Toulouse vs Paris FC February 21, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Benoît Millot, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.95
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.28
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.09
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.89 – 0.82
Δ +2.07
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Toulouse enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and stronger home momentum, having shown resilience in recent wins. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Paris FC's struggles at the back, suggesting Toulouse can control the game tempo. The home side's attacking threat against a less robust away defense could unlock scoring chances, while Paris FC's cautious form hints at a compact, low-risk approach.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Recent form favoring Toulouse
  • Moderate pace expected with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOU 3-4-2-1 · PAR 5-4-1
Subs used · TOU
61' Vignolo ↑ · Kamanzi
64' Russell-Rowe ↑ · Emersonn
86' Sauer ↑ · Demba
Subs used · PAR
67' De Smet ↑ · Gory
67' Marchetti ↑ · Munetsi
67' Koleosho ↑ · Ikone
81' Krasso ↑ · Immobile
85' Simon ↑ · Kebbal

📊 Statistics

TOU 11 PAR
55%
Possession (%)
45%
2.89
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
23
Total Shots
5
10
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
1
13
Shots Inside Box
2
12
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
7
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
Dayann Methalie
Yellow Card
34'
39'
M. Munetsi
Assist · A. Gory · 0–1
44'
Diego Coppola
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
54'
Ilan Kebbal
Yellow Card
J. Vignolo ↓ · W. Kamanzi ↑
Substitution 1
61'
J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 2
64'
67'
T. De Smet ↓ · A. Gory ↑
Substitution 1
67'
V. Marchetti ↓ · M. Munetsi ↑
Substitution 2
67'
L. Koleosho ↓ · J. Ikone ↑
Substitution 3
68'
Kevin Trapp
Yellow Card
77'
Otávio
Yellow Card
81'
J. Krasso ↓ · C. Immobile ↑
Substitution 4
85'
M. Simon ↓ · I. Kebbal ↑
Substitution 5
M. Sauer ↓ · P. Demba ↑
Substitution 3
86'
J. Vignolo
Assist · S. Hidalgo · 1–1
87'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Yellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Thibault De Smet
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.95 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.28 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.09 47% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
BTTS No 1.83 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 56% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.95 42% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 70% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.11 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.39 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.49 26% Cashed +2.49 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.62 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.21 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.72u −16% ROI