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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Metz

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Metz February 21, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:05
3:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Abdelatif Kherradji, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 52% · book 2.28 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.97 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.13 – 0.08
Δ +2.05
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain hosts Metz with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum. PSG's potent attack faces a vulnerable Metz defense, while their solid defensive block should contain Metz's limited offensive threat. Recent form heavily favors PSG, who have been consistent in front of goal. Expect a controlled pace with PSG pressing high and exploiting set-piece opportunities.

  • Home attacking strength vs away defensive weakness
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Likely tactical dominance and controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · MET 4-1-4-1
PSG · 4-3-3 4-1-4-1 · MET 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 6 Zabarnyi 4 Beraldo 21 Hernández 19 Lee 33 Zaïre-Emery 27 Fernández 14 Doué ⚽ 9 Ramos ⚽ 29 Barcola ⚽ 1 Fischer 39 Kouao 38 Sané 15 Yegbe 97 Ballo-Touré 5 Gbamin 19 Michal 12 Touré 8 Traoré 7 Tsitaishvili 30 Diallo
Subs used · PSG
46' Mbaye ↑ · Doue ↓
63' Vitinha ↑ · Kang-In ↓
63' Neves ↑ · Fernandez ↓
64' Kvaratskhelia ↑ · Barcola ↓
Subs used · MET
66' Sarr ↑ · Michal ↓
66' Deminguet ↑ · Ballo-Toure ↓
66' Abuashvili ↑ · Kouao ↓
78' Kvilitaia ↑ · Toure ↓
89' Mbala ↑ · Tsitaishvili ↓

📊 Statistics

PSG 3 – 0 MET
67%
Possession (%)
33%
2.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.08
16
Total Shots
3
6
Shots on Target
0
5
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
0
4
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
15
93%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0
D. Doue
Assist · W. Zaire-Emery · 1–0
⚽
3'
31'
▮
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Boubacar Traoré
Yellow Card
B. Barcola
Assist · G. Ramos · 2–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
I. Mbaye ↓ · D. Doue ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Vitinha ↓ · Lee Kang-In ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
J. Neves ↓ · D. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
K. Kvaratskhelia ↓ · B. Barcola ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
64'
66'
⇄
B. Sarr ↓ · L. Michal ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
J. Deminguet ↓ · F. Ballo-Toure ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
G. Abuashvili ↓ · K. Kouao ↑
Substitution 3
G. Ramos
Assist · L. Hernandez · 3–0
⚽
77'
78'
⇄
G. Kvilitaia ↓ · A. Toure ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
N. Mbala ↓ · G. Tsitaishvili ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.28 — 52% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 — 49% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.73 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 4.10 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.20 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 9.00 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.17 — 85% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 — 85% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 31.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 6.79 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 — 86% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.29 — 69% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Away Win 19.67 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 12.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.14u −36% ROI