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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Le Havre — Toulouse

Match Le Havre vs Toulouse February 15, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D D D L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stade Océane · Le Havre Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.41 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.72 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.16 – 2.57
Δ −1.41
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Toulouse arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive potential, despite Le Havre's solid home form. The home side's defensive resilience faces a stern test against Toulouse's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle where away pressing and creativity could tilt the balance.

  • Le Havre's home momentum contrasts with Toulouse's superior overall strength.
  • Defensive solidity of Le Havre challenged by Toulouse's attacking threat.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAV 3-4-1-2 · TOU 3-4-2-1
HAV · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · TOU 99 Diaw 93 Sangante 29 Zagadou 4 Lloris 7 Nego 19 Gourna-Douath 26 Ebonog 18 Zouaoui 14 Ndiaye 45 Soumare ⚽ 17 Boufal 1 Restes 3 McKenzie 4 Cresswell 2 Nicolaisen 22 Messali 23 Casseres 18 Demba 19 Sidibe ⚽ 15 Donnum 10 Gboho 20 Emersonn
Subs used · HAV
46' Mpasi-Nzau ↑ · Diaw ↓
65' N. Mosengo ↑ · Boufal ↓
65' Samatta ↑ · Ebonog ↓
84' Pembele ↑ · Zagadou ↓
90+5' Kechta ↑ · Ndiaye ↓
Subs used · TOU
30' Hidalgo ↑ · Messali ↓
62' Methalie ↑ · Nicolaisen ↓
62' Sauer ↑ · Casseres ↓
62' Russell-Rowe ↑ · Emersonn ↓
83' Vignolo ↑ · Sidibe ↓

📊 Statistics

HAV 2 – 1 TOU
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.57
5
Total Shots
25
2
Shots on Target
9
2
Shots off Target
6
2
Shots Inside Box
16
1
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
16
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
4
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 1
Arouna Sangante
Red Card
▮
2'
30'
⇄
S. Hidalgo ↓ · R. Messali ↑
Substitution 1
I. Soumare
1–0
⚽
43'
45'
⚽
D. Sidibe
Assist · C. Cresswell · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
L. Mpasi-Nzau ↓ · M. Diaw ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
49'
▮
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Yellow Card
I. Soumare
Assist · S. Boufal · 2–1
⚽
53'
54'
▮
Guillaume Restes
Yellow Card
Simon Ebonog
Yellow Card
▮
55'
62'
⇄
D. Methalie ↓ · R. Nicolaisen ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
M. Sauer ↓ · C. Casseres ↑
Substitution 3
62'
⇄
J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 4
D. N. Mosengo ↓ · S. Boufal ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
A. Samatta ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
70'
▮
Dayann Methalie
Yellow Card
83'
⇄
J. Vignolo ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 5
T. Pembele ↓ · S. Zagadou ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
84'
88'
▮
Santiago Hidalgo
Yellow Card
Lionel M'Pasi
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Y. Kechta ↓ · R. Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.41 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.72 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.31 — 42% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 — 48% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.67 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.64 — 50% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.32 — 22% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.37 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.04 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 — 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.27 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.45 — 22% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.56u −9% ROI