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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Lens

Match Marseille vs Lens January 24, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 20:05
3:1
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.07 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.65 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.69 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 0.91
Δ −0.03
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum, having won three of their last five. Their offensive strength matches well against Lens' defensive setup, suggesting chances for goals. However, Lens' perfect recent form and resilience could challenge Marseille's compact block, hinting at a competitive encounter with potential for multiple goals.

  • Home attacking edge versus away defense
  • Lens' unbeaten streak adds pressure
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 3-4-2-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1
MAR · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · LEN 1 Rulli 5 Balerdi 21 Aguerd 32 Medina 22 Weah 23 Højbjerg 27 Timber 14 Paixão 11 Nwaneri ⚽ 20 Traorè 9 Gouiri ⚽ 40 Risser 25 Ganiou 20 Sarr 14 Udol 23 Abdulhamid 8 Sangare 28 Thomasson 2 Aguilar 10 Thauvin 22 Saïd 11 Édouard
Subs used · MAR
58' Greenwood ↑ · Nwaneri ↓
74' Pavard ↑ · Aguerd ↓
74' Bakola ↑ · J. Traore ↓
74' O'Riley ↑ · Timber ↓
80' Aubameyang ↑ · Gouiri ↓
Subs used · LEN
59' Sima ↑ · Edouard ↓
72' Bulatovic ↑ · Thomasson ↓
72' Fofana ↑ · Said ↓
78' Bermont ↑ · Aguilar ↓
78' Sotoca ↑ · Thauvin ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 3 – 1 LEN
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.91
10
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
4
18
Fouls
16
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 1
A. Gouiri
Assist · I. Paixao · 1–0
⚽
3'
E. Nwaneri
Assist · P. Hojbjerg · 2–0
⚽
13'
37'
▮
Wesley Saïd
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 0
M. Greenwood ↓ · E. Nwaneri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
59'
⇄
A. Sima ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 1
61'
▮
Mamadou Sangare
Yellow Card
Quinten Timber
Yellow Card
▮
70'
70'
▮
Florian Thauvin
Yellow Card
72'
⇄
A. Bulatovic ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⇄
R. Fofana ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 3
B. Pavard ↓ · N. Aguerd ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
D. Bakola ↓ · H. J. Traore ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
M. O'Riley ↓ · Q. Timber ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
A. Gouiri
Assist · T. Weah · 3–0
⚽
75'
78'
⇄
A. Bermont ↓ · R. Aguilar ↑
Substitution 4
78'
⇄
F. Sotoca ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑
Substitution 5
P. Aubameyang ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
85'
⚽
R. Fofana
Assist · M. Sangare · 3–1
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.07 — 56% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.65 — 41% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.69 — 63% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS No 2.51 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.85 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.69 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 80% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.56 — 63% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.52 — 56% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 — 83% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.82 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.68 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.93u −23% ROI