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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lens — Auxerre

Match Lens vs Auxerre January 17, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Bastien Dechepy, France
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.79
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.18
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.91
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.59 – 0.55
Δ +2.04
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lens carry strong home momentum with a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Auxerre. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Lens can control the game tempo and create multiple chances. Auxerre’s recent form shows signs of resilience but lacks consistency against top opponents.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Lens’ offensive firepower vs Auxerre’s leaky defense
  • Auxerre’s patchy form unlikely to disrupt Lens’ rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · AUX 5-3-2
Subs used · LEN
56' Sangare ↑ · Thomasson
56' Sima ↑ · Fofana
65' Aguilar ↑ · Abdulhamid
65' Guilavogui ↑ · Said
86' Sotoca ↑ · Thauvin
Subs used · AUX
76' Matondo ↑ · Danois
76' Casimir ↑ · Senaya
76' Faivre ↑ · Ahamada
87' Mara ↑ · Namaso
87' Diousse ↑ · El Azzouzi

📊 Statistics

LEN 10 AUX
49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.55
19
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
0
7
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
20
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 1 – 0
Adrien Thomasson
Yellow Card
14'
24'
Sinaly Diomandé
Yellow Card
27'
Kévin Danois
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
51'
Clement Akpa
Yellow Card
M. Sangare ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑
Substitution 1
56'
A. Sima ↓ · R. Fofana ↑
Substitution 2
56'
60'
Marvin Senaya
Yellow Card
R. Aguilar ↓ · S. Abdulhamid ↑
Substitution 3
65'
M. Guilavogui ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 4
65'
W. Said
Assist · M. Sarr · 1–0
65'
76'
R. Matondo ↓ · K. Danois ↑
Substitution 1
76'
J. Casimir ↓ · M. Senaya ↑
Substitution 2
76'
R. Faivre ↓ · N. Ahamada ↑
Substitution 3
Morgan Guilavogui
Yellow Card
80'
F. Sotoca ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑
Substitution 5
86'
87'
S. Mara ↓ · D. Namaso ↑
Substitution 4
87'
A. Diousse ↓ · O. El Azzouzi ↑
Substitution 5
90+5'
Assane Dioussé
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.79 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.18 45% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.49 70% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 90% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 67% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.89 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.14 70% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.80 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.35 22% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.20 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.70 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.75 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.30u −14% ROI