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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Nantes — Paris FC

Match Nantes vs Paris FC January 18, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nantes
Nantes
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Stade de la Beaujoire · Nantes Referee Benoît Millot, France
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.88
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 49% · book 2.48
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.13
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.36 – 0.97
Δ −0.61
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.88 — +8.6% better than the market.

Nantes vs Paris FC Preview

Paris FC holds a clear quality edge and looks to capitalize on Nantes' recent shaky form. Despite Nantes' home advantage, their defensive solidity faces a stern test against Paris FC's sharper attack. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides struggle for consistent scoring. Expect Paris FC to press high and exploit transitional moments, while Nantes may rely on set-piece opportunities to threaten.

  • Paris FC's offensive edge against Nantes' defense
  • Home momentum tempered by recent losses
  • Likely tactical battle with moderate pace and goal count

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.88 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NAN 3-4-3 · PAR 5-4-1
Subs used · NAN
18' Lepenant ↑ · Machado
65' Guirassy ↑ · Coquelin
65' Ganago ↑ · El Arabi
83' Camara ↑ · Sissoko
Subs used · PAR
67' Koleosho ↑ · Gory
81' Marchetti ↑ · Otavio
87' Munetsi ↑ · Kebbal

📊 Statistics

NAN 12 PAR
48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.97
5
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
2
2
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

14 · 1 – 2
6'
I. Kebbal
0–1
J. Lepenant ↓ · D. Machado ↑
Substitution 1
18'
Tylel Tati
Yellow Card
23'
29'
Ilan Kebbal
Yellow Card
35'
Maxime López
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Abline
Assist · J. Mwanga · 1–1
50'
60'
Timothée Kolodziejczak
Yellow Card
B. Guirassy ↓ · F. Coquelin ↑
Substitution 2
65'
I. Ganago ↓ · Y. El Arabi ↑
Substitution 3
65'
67'
L. Koleosho ↓ · A. Gory ↑
Substitution 1
78'
L. Koleosho
Assist · H. Traore · 1–2
81'
V. Marchetti ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 2
A. Camara ↓ · I. Sissoko ↑
Substitution 4
83'
87'
M. Munetsi ↓ · I. Kebbal ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.88 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.48 49% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS No 2.13 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.07 42% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.78 48% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.74 49% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.61 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.27 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 77% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.56 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 78% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.30 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 68% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.25 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.78u −22% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
NAN – PAR @ 1.88
+8.6%
Edge
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