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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lorient — Metz

Match Lorient vs Metz January 4, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 16:15
1:1
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.85
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.93
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.05
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.44 – 0.45
Δ +0.99
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lorient enters this Ligue 1 clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Metz's attack. Their recent unbeaten run contrasts sharply with Metz's struggles, suggesting a tactical edge in controlling the game's tempo. Expect Lorient's compact block and efficient counterattacks to test Metz's less consistent defense.

  • Home side's defensive resilience versus away's moderate offense
  • Strong home form against away's recent poor results
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LOR 3-4-3 · MET 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LOR
60' Bamba ↑ · Soumano
60' Dieng ↑ · Makengo
74' Karim ↑ · Abergel
Subs used · MET
46' Toure ↑ · Deminguet
79' Asoro ↑ · Sane
85' Stambouli ↑ · Traore
85' Bokele Mputu ↑ · Tsitaishvili

📊 Statistics

LOR 11 MET
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.44
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.45
16
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
8
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 1 – 1
29'
S. Sane
Assist · G. Hein · 0–1
45+1'
Ibou Sane
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
A. Toure ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 1
M. Bamba ↓ · S. Soumano ↑
Substitution 1
60'
B. Dieng ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Mohamed Bamba
Yellow Card
63'
69'
Koffi Kouao
Yellow Card
B. Dieng
Assist · M. Bamba · 1–1
73'
D. Karim ↓ · L. Abergel ↑
Substitution 3
74'
79'
J. Asoro ↓ · I. Sane ↑
Substitution 2
85'
B. Stambouli ↓ · B. Traore ↑
Substitution 3
85'
M. Bokele Mputu ↓ · G. Tsitaishvili ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.85 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.93 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.01 48% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.82 53% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.08 40% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.36 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 70% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.83 24% Cashed +2.83 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.77 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.38 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.29u −13% ROI