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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Monaco — Lyon

Match Monaco vs Lyon January 3, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 16:00
1:3
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.08
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.66
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.55
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.68 – 1.43
Δ −0.75
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Monaco holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their attacking strength matches well against Lyon's leaky defense, suggesting chances to break through. Lyon's solid away form hints at resilience, but Monaco's home edge and pressing style could tilt control early on. Expect a moderately open game with opportunities for both sides.

  • Monaco's offensive pressure versus Lyon's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Home advantage with tactical pressing
  • Lyon's away resilience may limit a runaway scoreline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MON 4-3-1-2 · LYO 4-3-1-2
Subs used · MON
12' Kohn ↑ · Hradecky
36' Ouattara ↑ · Mawissa
77' Idumbo ↑ · Golovin
77' Ilenikhena ↑ · Biereth
Subs used · LYO
66' Tessmann ↑ · Merah
81' Karabec ↑ · Sulc
81' Mangala ↑ · Vinicius
90+3' Satriano ↑ · Tolisso

📊 Statistics

MON 13 LYO
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.43
6
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
9
1
Shots off Target
3
2
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 1 – 3
Thilo Kehrer
Yellow Card
7'
P. Kohn ↓ · L. Hradecky ↑
Substitution 1
12'
35'
Clinton Mata
Yellow Card
K. Ouattara ↓ · C. Mawissa ↑
Substitution 2
36'
38'
P. Sulc
Assist · N. Tagliafico · 0–1
M. Coulibaly
Assist · F. Balogun · 1–1
45'
Half-time · 1 – 1
57'
P. Sulc
Assist · A. Maitland-Niles · 1–2
66'
T. Tessmann ↓ · K. Merah ↑
Substitution 1
Mamadou Coulibaly
Red Card
70'
70'
Corentin Tolisso
Yellow Card
70'
Ruben Kluivert
Yellow Card
S. Idumbo ↓ · A. Golovin ↑
Substitution 3
77'
G. Ilenikhena ↓ · M. Biereth ↑
Substitution 4
77'
Folarin Balogun
Yellow Card
78'
79'
Abner Vinicius
Assist · N. Tagliafico · 1–3
81'
A. Karabec ↓ · P. Sulc ↑
Substitution 2
81'
O. Mangala ↓ · Abner Vinicius ↑
Substitution 3
90+3'
M. Satriano ↓ · C. Tolisso ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.08 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 60% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.42 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.55 38% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.85 44% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.62 21% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.58 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.55 61% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.54 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 81% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.95 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 21% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.97u −6% ROI