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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Paris FC

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Paris FC January 4, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.94 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 2.04 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.01 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.28 – 1.01
Δ +0.27
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.94 — +7.0% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain enter this clash with clear superiority, backed by strong home momentum and a significant quality gap. Their potent attack faces a Paris FC defense that has struggled recently, while PSG's compact block and set-piece threat add to their edge. The home side's recent form contrasts sharply with Paris FC's struggles, suggesting a controlled, likely high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities.

  • Home attacking strength vs away defensive frailty
  • Superior recent form and home advantage
  • Likely open game with goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed
AI 55% Implied 52% +0.94u
+94%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · PAR 5-4-1
PSG · 4-3-3 5-4-1 · PAR 30 Chevalier 33 Zaïre-Emery 6 Zabarnyi 51 Pacho 25 Mendes 87 Neves 17 Vitinha 8 Ruiz 14 Doué ⚽ 10 Dembélé ⚽ 24 Mayulu 35 Trapp 19 Sangui 5 Mbow 15 Kolodziejczak 6 Otávio 28 Smet 93 Ikoné 21 López 17 Camara 7 Gory 9 Geubbels ⚽
Subs used · PSG
70' Marquinhos ↑ · Zabarnyi ↓
70' Ramos ↑ · Dembele ↓
70' Barcola ↑ · Doue ↓
80' Hernandez ↑ · Mendes ↓
83' Nsoki ↑ · Mayulu ↓
Subs used · PAR
68' Cafaro ↑ · Ikone ↓
77' Marchetti ↑ · Gory ↓
89' Ollila ↑ · De Smet ↓
89' Lopez ↑ · Geubbels ↓
89' Dao ↑ · Camara ↓

📊 Statistics

PSG 2 – 1 PAR
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.01
20
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
4
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1
D. Doue
Assist · F. Ruiz · 1–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Ilya Zabarnyi
Yellow Card
▮
49'
51'
⚽
W. Geubbels (P)
Penalty · 1–1
O. Dembele
Assist · W. Zaire-Emery · 2–1
⚽
53'
68'
⇄
M. Cafaro ↓ · J. Ikone ↑
Substitution 1
Marquinhos ↓ · I. Zabarnyi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
G. Ramos ↓ · O. Dembele ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
B. Barcola ↓ · D. Doue ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
77'
⇄
V. Marchetti ↓ · A. Gory ↑
Substitution 2
L. Hernandez ↓ · N. Mendes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
N. Nsoki ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
89'
⇄
T. Ollila ↓ · T. De Smet ↑
Substitution 3
89'
⇄
J. Lopez ↓ · W. Geubbels ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
M. Dao ↓ · A. Camara ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.94 — 55% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.04 — 52% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.01 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.60 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.25 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.22 — 81% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 — 81% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.50 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 — 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.10 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 23.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.39 — 66% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Away Win 19.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 13.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.20u −36% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
PSG – PAR @ 1.94
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →