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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lyon — Nantes

Match Lyon vs Nantes November 30, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 19:45
3:0
Full-time
Nantes
Nantes
D L L W L Away · last 5
Parc Olympique Lyonnais · Lyon Referee Abdelatif Kherradji, France
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.22
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.95
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 1.92
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 0.86
Δ +0.82
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.22 — +13.5% better than the market.

Lyon holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger attack and defense metrics. Their pressing and compact block should challenge Nantes, who struggle away and show inconsistent form. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Lyon's control and set-piece threat could limit Nantes' chances.

  • Home advantage with tactical solidity
  • Superior offensive vs defensive matchup
  • Recent form favors Lyon's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.22 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LYO 3-4-2-1 · NAN 4-3-3
Subs used · LYO
72' Maitland-Niles ↑ · Hateboer
72' Moreira ↑ · de Carvalho
85' Karabec ↑ · Satriano
85' Mangala ↑ · Morton
90' Merah ↑ · Tessmann
Subs used · NAN
58' Guirassy ↑ · Lahdo
59' Deuff ↑ · El Arabi
78' Radakovic ↑ · Hyeok-Kyu
89' Centonze ↑ · Lepenant
89' Mohamed ↑ · Tati

📊 Statistics

LYO 30 NAN
72%
Possession (%)
28%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.86
20
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
9
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 3 – 0
22'
Tylel Tati
Yellow Card
43'
Junior Mwanga
Red Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Abner Vinicius
1–0
51'
Tyler Morton
Yellow Card
57'
58'
B. Guirassy ↓ · M. Lahdo ↑
Substitution 1
59'
B. Deuff ↓ · Y. El Arabi ↑
Substitution 2
M. Satriano
Assist · P. Sulc · 2–0
70'
A. Maitland-Niles ↓ · H. Hateboer ↑
Substitution 1
72'
A. Moreira ↓ · M. de Carvalho ↑
Substitution 2
72'
M. Satriano
Assist · A. Moreira · 3–0
77'
78'
U. Radakovic ↓ · Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑
Substitution 3
A. Karabec ↓ · M. Satriano ↑
Substitution 3
85'
O. Mangala ↓ · T. Morton ↑
Substitution 4
85'
88'
Johann Lepenant
Yellow Card
89'
F. Centonze ↓ · J. Lepenant ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Mostafa Mohamed ↓ · T. Tati ↑
Substitution 5
K. Merah ↓ · T. Tessmann ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.22 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 54% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.77 49% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.80 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 73% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Home Win 1.52 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.35 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 90% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.90 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.14 69% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.90 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.70 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 73% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Away Win 7.30 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.75 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.72u −34% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
LYO – NAN @ 2.22
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →