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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Strasbourg

Match Lens vs Strasbourg November 22, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.71 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.82 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.63 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.81 – 0.45
Δ +1.36
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.71 — +11.4% better than the market.

Lens shows strong home momentum with a solid recent run and a pressing edge in attack against Strasbourg's defense. Despite Strasbourg's higher overall strength, Lens' home form and sharper offensive-defensive matchup suggest a competitive clash. The pace hints at an open game with a good chance for goals, supported by both sides' attacking capabilities.

  • Lens' home form is notably better, offering confidence in their attacking rhythm.
  • Strasbourg's defense may struggle against Lens' offensive pressure.
  • The expected tempo favors a lively match with scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.71 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 58% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · STR 3-4-2-1
LEN · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · STR 40 Risser 25 Ganiou ⚽ 6 Baidoo 20 Sarr 2 Aguilar 8 Sangare 28 Thomasson 14 Udol 10 Thauvin 22 Saïd 11 Édouard 39 Penders 24 Høgsberg 23 Sarr 3 Chilwell 22 Doué 29 Mourabet 32 Barco 7 Moreira 80 Lemaréchal 9 Panichelli 10 Emegha
Subs used · LEN
74' Sima ↑ · Thauvin ↓
74' Guilavogui ↑ · Said ↓
85' Sotoca ↑ · Edouard ↓
Subs used · STR
46' Omobamidele ↑ · Hogsberg ↓
61' Amougou ↑ · El Mourabet ↓
61' Enciso ↑ · Lemarechal ↓
85' Nzingoula ↑ · Moreira ↓
90+1' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Doue ↓

📊 Statistics

LEN 1 – 0 STR
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.81
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.45
13
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0
3'
▮
Samir El Mourabet
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Omobamidele ↓ · L. Hogsberg ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
M. Amougou ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑
Substitution 2
61'
⇄
J. Enciso ↓ · F. Lemarechal ↑
Substitution 3
68'
▮
Guéla Doué
Yellow Card
I. Ganiou
Assist · M. Udol · 1–0
⚽
69'
A. Sima ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
74'
M. Guilavogui ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
Adrien Thomasson
Yellow Card
▮
77'
77'
▮
Valentín Barco
Red Card
F. Sotoca ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
R. Nzingoula ↓ · D. Moreira ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
⇄
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 5
Morgan Guilavogui
Red Card
▮
90+5'
Florian Sotoca
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
90+7'
▮
Emmanuel Emegha
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.71 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.82 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.65 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.49 — 35% Cashed +1.49 Cashed
Home Win 2.12 — 39% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.32 — 35% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Away Win 3.60 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 64% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 — 56% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 — 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.56 — 39% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Draw 3.85 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 15% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.40u +2% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
LEN – STR @ 1.71
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →