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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lorient — Toulouse

Match Lorient vs Toulouse November 9, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 49% · book 2.49
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.14
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.85
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.36 – 1.41
Δ −0.05
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.14 — +8.9% better than the market.

Toulouse arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Lorient's home momentum is limited by a shaky defense facing a potent Toulouse attack, which could exploit gaps with quick transitions. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectations, favoring a tactical battle where Toulouse's pressing and offensive efficiency may tip the scales.

  • Toulouse's superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Lorient's defensive vulnerabilities against a sharp away offense
  • Moderate tempo likely to produce chances for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.14 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · TOU 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LOR
60' Cadiou ↑ · Abergel
69' Makengo ↑ · Pagis
69' Soumano ↑ · Tosin
80' Bamba ↑ · Karim
80' Le Bris ↑ · Mvuka Mugisha
Subs used · TOU
66' Vossah ↑ · Francis
80' Hidalgo ↑ · Emersonn
80' Messali ↑ · McKenzie
90' Sauer ↑ · Gboho

📊 Statistics

LOR 11 TOU
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.41
10
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
19
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
32'
Charlie Cresswell
Yellow Card
39'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Yellow Card
P. Pagis (P)
Penalty · 1–0
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
N. Cadiou ↓ · L. Abergel ↑
Substitution 1
60'
65'
D. Sidibe (P)
Penalty · 1–1
66'
A. Vossah ↓ · A. Francis ↑
Substitution 1
J. Makengo ↓ · P. Pagis ↑
Substitution 2
69'
S. Soumano ↓ · A. Tosin ↑
Substitution 3
69'
79'
Alexis Vossah
Yellow Card
M. Bamba ↓ · D. Karim ↑
Substitution 4
80'
T. Le Bris ↓ · J. Mvuka Mugisha ↑
Substitution 5
80'
80'
S. Hidalgo ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 2
80'
R. Messali ↓ · M. McKenzie ↑
Substitution 3
86'
Rafik Messali
Yellow Card
90'
M. Sauer ↓ · Y. Gboho ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.49 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.14 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.85 54% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.83 49% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.78 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.61 51% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.20 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.42 76% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.13 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.38 75% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 92% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.40 27% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 71% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.45 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.50 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.14u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
LOR – TOU @ 2.14
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →