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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Stade Brestois 29

Match Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 October 19, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 15:15
3:3
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D L L L D Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Marc Bollengier, France
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 37% · book 3.40 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.81 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.99 ✓
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.06 – 1.46
Δ −0.40
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Lorient and Brest, the match is expected to be competitive with a slight edge towards Brest. The Away Win market shows a promising estimated probability of 44.13% against odds of 2.81, suggesting potential value. Additionally, the Over 2.5 Goals market is appealing with a 58.08% estimated probability and odds of 1.99, indicating a likely high-scoring encounter. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, making BTTS Yes a viable option with a 59.89% probability and odds of 1.75. The Double Chance X2 market also offers a solid choice with a 70.34% estimated probability and odds of 1.56, providing a safer bet on Brest avoiding defeat.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1
LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE 38 Mvogo 5 Meïté 3 Talbi 25 Faye 11 Bris ⚽ 62 Ebong 6 Abergel 43 Kouassi ⚽ 17 Makengo 10 Pagis 9 Bamba 1 Majecki 77 Lala 5 Chardonnet 44 Coulibaly 2 Locko 13 Chotard 8 Magnetti 10 Castillo ⚽ 23 Doumbia 7 Ebimbe ⚽ 19 Ajorque
Subs used · LOR
62' Tosin ↑ · Makengo ↓
73' Dieng ↑ · Pagis ↓
73' Soumano ↑ · Bamba ↓
83' Mvuka Mugisha ↑ · Le Bris ↓
83' Yongwa ↑ · Kouassi ↓
Subs used · BRE
64' Tousart ↑ · Doumbia ↓
64' Labeau Lascary ↑ · Dina Ebimbe ↓
78' Le Cardinal ↑ · Lala ↓
88' Mboup ↑ · Del Castillo ↓

📊 Statistics

LOR 3 – 3 BRE
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.46
12
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
16
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 3
T. Le Bris
Assist · A. Kouassi · 1–0
⚽
2'
34'
⚽
J. Dina Ebimbe
Assist · B. Locko · 1–1
44'
⚽
J. Makengo
Own goal · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
Abdoulaye Faye
Yellow Card
▮
51'
51'
▮
Ludovic Ajorque
Yellow Card
A. Kouassi
Assist · T. Le Bris · 2–2
⚽
55'
A. Tosin ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
64'
⇄
L. Tousart ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
R. Labeau Lascary ↓ · J. Dina Ebimbe ↑
Substitution 2
B. Dieng ↓ · P. Pagis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
S. Soumano ↓ · M. Bamba ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
78'
⇄
J. Le Cardinal ↓ · K. Lala ↑
Substitution 3
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
D. Yongwa ↓ · A. Kouassi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Bamo Meïté
Yellow Card
▮
84'
86'
⚽
R. Del Castillo (P)
Penalty · 2–3
88'
⇄
P. Mboup ↓ · R. Del Castillo ↑
Substitution 4
89'
▮
Julien Le Cardinal
Yellow Card
S. Soumano
Assist · B. Dieng · 3–3
⚽
89'
Aiyegun Tosin
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 3.40 — 37% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Away Win 2.81 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.99 — 58% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 60% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 — 70% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 — 80% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Home Win 2.67 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 — 26% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 95% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.98 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 56% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.93 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.04 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.87u −5% ROI