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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Metz

Match Toulouse vs Metz October 19, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 15:15
4:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee François Letexier, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.65 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.94 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.96 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.34 – 0.08
Δ +2.26
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Toulouse is expected to leverage their overall strength and home advantage against Metz. With an estimated 65.27% probability, a Home Win at odds of 1.65 offers a solid prospect. The attacking profiles suggest a lively encounter, with Over 2.5 Goals having a 53.86% chance at 1.94 odds. Both teams are likely to find the net, making BTTS Yes a viable option at 1.96 odds. For a safer approach, consider Double Chance 1X, reflecting an 87.8% probability at 1.17 odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

TOU 3-4-3 · MET 3-4-2-1
TOU · 3-4-3 3-4-2-1 · MET 1 Restes 19 Sidibé 4 Cresswell ⚽ 2 Nicolaisen 15 Dønnum ⚽ 23 Cásseres 17 Francis 24 Methalie 9 Magri ⚽ 20 Emersonn 10 Gboho ⚽ 1 Fischer 5 Gbamin 38 Sané 97 Ballo-Touré 39 Kouao 8 Traoré 12 Touré 9 Abuashvili 10 Hein 14 Sabaly 30 Diallo
Subs used · TOU
64' McKenzie ↑ · Magri ↓
64' Sauer ↑ · Sidibe ↓
76' Kamanzi ↑ · Methalie ↓
76' Hidalgo ↑ · Emersonn ↓
83' Vignolo ↑ · Gboho ↓
Subs used · MET
46' Yegbe ↑ · Abuashvili ↓
71' Deminguet ↑ · Traore ↓
71' Tsitaishvili ↑ · Ballo-Toure ↓
83' Sane ↑ · Hein ↓
84' Asoro ↑ · Diallo ↓

📊 Statistics

TOU 4 – 0 MET
36%
Possession (%)
64%
2.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.08
16
Total Shots
2
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
0
13
Shots Inside Box
0
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
11
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

18 · 4 – 0
F. Magri
Assist · Emersonn · 1–0
⚽
2'
A. Donnum (P)
Penalty · 2–0
⚽
8'
34'
▮
Giorgi Abuashvili
Yellow Card
Frank Magri
Yellow Card
▮
37'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
T. Yegbe ↓ · G. Abuashvili ↑
Substitution 1
45+2'
▮
Sadibou Sané
Red Card
M. McKenzie ↓ · F. Magri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
M. Sauer ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
71'
⇄
J. Deminguet ↓ · B. Traore ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
G. Tsitaishvili ↓ · F. Ballo-Toure ↑
Substitution 3
Emersonn
Yellow Card
▮
74'
W. Kamanzi ↓ · D. Methalie ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
S. Hidalgo ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
Y. Gboho
Assist · C. Cresswell · 3–0
⚽
79'
J. Vignolo ↓ · Y. Gboho ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
83'
⇄
I. Sane ↓ · G. Hein ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
J. Asoro ↓ · H. Diallo ↑
Substitution 5
C. Cresswell
Assist · A. Donnum · 4–0
⚽
84'
Full-time · 4 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.65 — 65% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.94 — 54% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 — 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.26 — 32% Cashed +2.26 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 — 78% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 4.18 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 47% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.20 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.85 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.01 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.44 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.24 — 65% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.39 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.47u −20% ROI