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Football France Ligue 1 Auxerre — Lens

Match Auxerre vs Lens October 4, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 19:05
1:2
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre Referee François Letexier, France
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 36% · book 3.00
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 33% · book 3.20
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.05
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.71 – 0.41
Δ +1.30
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Auxerre vs Lens — betting preview

Lens arrive with the stronger overall level and a healthier form trend, while Auxerre’s attack at home has struggled to sustain pressure. Expect the visitors to control long stretches and create the cleaner chances. If Lens edge in front, the game can open up after the first goal; otherwise, Auxerre may lean on moments and set pieces. Our numbers keep Lens-favored outcomes in front, with selective exposure to higher totals and a cautious stance against a home goal.

Main risks: an early Auxerre strike flipping the script; penalty variance; late game state that inflates total-goal probability.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

AUX 12 LEN
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
18
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
21
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
7
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

20 · 1 – 2
14'
O. Edouard
Assist · A. Thomasson · 0–1
15'
Samson Baidoo
Yellow Card
41'
R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
Ismaelo Ganiou
Yellow Card
F. Sierralta
1–1
61'
Danny Namaso
Yellow Card
62'
62'
Robin Risser
Yellow Card
Gideon Mensah
Yellow Card
65'
66'
Florian Thauvin
Yellow Card
Elisha Owusu
Yellow Card
68'
I. Osman ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑
Substitution 1
69'
73'
Ismaelo Ganiou
Yellow Card
73'
Ismaelo Ganiou
Red Card
R. Matondo ↓ · E. Owusu ↑
Substitution 2
76'
81'
A. Sima ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑
Substitution 2
81'
M. Guilavogui ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 3
L. Sy ↓ · F. Sierralta ↑
Substitution 3
84'
87'
Adrien Thomasson
Yellow Card
90'
A. Sima
Assist · A. Thomasson · 1–2
90+2'
Malang Sarr
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Team Total Under 0.5 3.00 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.05 50% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.89 54% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 79% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Home Win 3.80 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.83 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −1.78u −25% ROI