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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lyon — Toulouse

Match Lyon vs Toulouse October 5, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Parc Olympique Lyonnais · Lyon Referee Thomas Leonard, France
Miss
AH Home -1
AH Home -1
AI 42% · book 2.69
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 1.93
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.12
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.02 – 0.98
Δ +0.04
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lyon vs Toulouse — betting preview

Lyon bring stronger recent momentum and a sturdier defensive shape at home, while Toulouse’s away form is patchy and leans on transitional moments. Expect the hosts to control territory and chance quality; if they edge in front, the game can settle into a measured rhythm rather than a shootout.

Our numbers favor home-sided outcomes and slightly lean toward the lower-to-mid totals unless Toulouse land early in transition.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · TOU 3-4-3
Subs used · LYO
78' Moreira ↑ · Karabec
90+2' Sulc ↑ · Tessmann
Subs used · TOU
46' Methalie ↑ · Kamanzi
46' Francis ↑ · Sauer
71' Emersonn ↑ · Magri
78' Vossah ↑ · Casseres
78' Hidalgo ↑ · Sidibe

📊 Statistics

LYO 12 TOU
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
13
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
10
8
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
17
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 1 – 2
M. Fofana
Assist · M. Satriano · 1–0
24'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
D. Methalie ↓ · W. Kamanzi ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Francis ↓ · M. Sauer ↑
Substitution 2
51'
Abu Francis
Yellow Card
59'
Aron Dønnum
Yellow Card
71'
Emersonn ↓ · F. Magri ↑
Substitution 3
A. Moreira ↓ · A. Karabec ↑
Substitution 1
78'
78'
A. Vossah ↓ · C. Casseres ↑
Substitution 4
78'
S. Hidalgo ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 5
80'
Mark McKenzie
Yellow Card
87'
C. Mata
Own goal · 1–1
90'
Emersonn
Assist · A. Vossah · 1–2
P. Sulc ↓ · T. Tessmann ↑
Substitution 2
90+2'
Afonso Moreira
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
AH Home -1 2.69 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.93 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.12 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Under 0.5 2.95 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.21 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.96 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.10 23% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −2.90u −41% ROI