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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Auxerre

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre September 27, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 19:05
2:0
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Thomas Leonard, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 83% · book 1.20
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 8% · book 8.72
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 4% · book 16.00
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.77 – 0.71
Δ +1.06
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain enters this match with a strong home advantage and a solid recent run of form, having won four of their last five games. Their attacking play is potent, and their defense at home is notably tight, conceding very few goals. Auxerre, on the other hand, has struggled away from home and shows inconsistency in form, with defensive vulnerabilities likely to be exploited. The model favors a clear home victory with a high probability, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is moderate but leans towards a clean sheet for the home side. The game is expected to feature multiple goals, aligning with PSG's attacking profile and Auxerre's defensive challenges.

Given the strong home dominance and attacking edge, totals markets over 2.5 goals and home team scoring markets carry value. The Asian handicap on the home side also looks attractive, reflecting PSG’s expected control of the match. Conservative bettors might consider the double chance on PSG or draw as a fallback, but the primary angle remains on PSG winning comfortably with multiple goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · AUX 5-4-1
Subs used · PSG
35' Hakimi ↑ · Vitinha
46' Barcola ↑ · Kvaratskhelia
62' Ndjantou ↑ · Mayulu
80' Jangeal ↑ · Kang-In
Subs used · AUX
46' Mara ↑ · Siwe
65' Coulibaly ↑ · Akpa
74' Osman ↑ · Namaso
75' Matondo ↑ · Danois
87' Diousse ↑ · Owusu

📊 Statistics

PSG 20 AUX
66%
Possession (%)
34%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.71
15
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
4
17
Fouls
10
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 2 – 0
24'
Marvin Senaya
Yellow Card
I. Zabarnyi
Assist · Vitinha · 1–0
32'
A. Hakimi ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 1
35'
Half-time · 1 – 0
B. Barcola ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
S. Mara ↓ · T. Siwe ↑
Substitution 1
L. Beraldo
Assist · S. Mayulu · 2–0
54'
Q. Ndjantou ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑
Substitution 3
62'
65'
L. Coulibaly ↓ · C. Akpa ↑
Substitution 2
74'
I. Osman ↓ · Danny Namaso ↑
Substitution 3
75'
R. Matondo ↓ · K. Danois ↑
Substitution 4
77'
Rudy Matondo
Yellow Card
M. Jangeal ↓ · Lee Kang-In ↑
Substitution 4
80'
87'
A. Diousse ↓ · E. Owusu ↑
Substitution 5
Bradley Barcola
Yellow Card
88'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.20 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 8.72 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 16.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.33 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 60% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home -0.5 1.18 75% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.03 90% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.05 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.07 40% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.91 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L −1.52u −15% ROI