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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Strasbourg — Marseille

Match Strasbourg vs Marseille September 26, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 26 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.65
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.80
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 55% · book 1.83
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.91 – 1.95
Δ −1.04
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
4 / 8
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This encounter features two teams with solid recent form, though Strasbourg’s home performances have been notably stronger than Marseille’s away outings. Strasbourg’s defensive resilience at home contrasts with Marseille’s more potent attack but less consistent away record. The game is likely to be competitive with a moderate tempo, where both sides have the capacity to score but also maintain defensive discipline. Given the home advantage and recent trends, a draw or a narrow away win seems plausible, while the goal count is expected to be around the 2 to 3 range. The market shows some value in backing both teams to score and the over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking capabilities on display.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

STR 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · STR
46' Ouattara ↑ · Paez
46' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Lemarechal
62' Panichelli ↑ · Emegha
84' Omobamidele ↑ · Doue
84' El Mourabet ↑ · Barco
Subs used · MAR
58' Emerson ↑ · Weah
58' Aubameyang ↑ · Gouiri
58' Greenwood ↑ · Paixao
85' Pavard ↑ · O'Riley
85' Vaz ↑ · Medina

📊 Statistics

STR 12 MAR
39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.95
8
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
4
7
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

19 · 1 – 2
24'
Nayef Aguerd
Yellow Card
27'
Amir Murillo
Yellow Card
38'
Matt O'Riley
Yellow Card
45'
Leonardo Balerdi
Yellow Card
Emanuel Emegha
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Ouattara ↓ · K. Paez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · F. Lemarechal ↑
Substitution 2
46'
A. Ouattara
Assist · E. Emegha · 1–0
49'
58'
Emerson ↓ · T. Weah ↑
Substitution 1
58'
P. Aubameyang ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑
Substitution 2
58'
M. Greenwood ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 3
J. Panichelli ↓ · E. Emegha ↑
Substitution 3
62'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Yellow Card
66'
78'
P. Aubameyang
1–1
A. Omobamidele ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 4
84'
S. El Mourabet ↓ · V. Barco ↑
Substitution 5
84'
85'
B. Pavard ↓ · M. O'Riley ↑
Substitution 4
85'
R. Vaz ↓ · F. Medina ↑
Substitution 5
90'
M. Murillo
1–2
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

8 · 4 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.65 65% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 58% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.83 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.33 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.63 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.85 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.64 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.09 46% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Total · 8 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 4 L −1.13u −14% ROI