Match Parma vs Cagliari February 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +11.6% better than the market.

Parma hosts Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form. Parma’s defensive solidity faces a probing Cagliari attack, suggesting a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances. The home side’s slight pressing edge and recent home momentum could keep the game tight, but expect cautious play and limited goals given the defensive strengths and moderate pace hinted by odds.

Parma’s home defensive resilience vs Cagliari’s sharper offense
Recent form favors Cagliari but Parma’s home edge narrows gap
Low tempo and strong defensive setups suggest under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.85 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 3-1-4-2 · CAG 3-5-2

PAR · 3-1-4-2 3-5-2 · CAG

7 Strefezza

8 Adopo 27 Liteta

Subs used · PAR

46'

Oristanio ↑ ·

Delprato ↓

46'

Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ ·

Ordonez ↓

75'

Estevez ↑ ·

Keita ↓

89'

Carboni ↑ ·

Valeri ↓

90'

Cremaschi ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

Subs used · CAG

61'

Folorunsho ↑ ·

Kilicsoy ↓

87'

Idrissi ↑ ·

Sulemana ↓

87'

Pavoletti ↑ ·

Esposito ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 1 – 1 CAG

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 1

21'

▮

Juan Rodríguez

Yellow Card

40'

▮

Alberto Dossena

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

G. Oristanio ↓ · E. Delprato ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · C. Ordonez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Mateo Pellegrino

Yellow Card

▮

56'

61'

⇄

M. Folorunsho ↓ · S. Kilicsoy ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⚽

M. Folorunsho

Assist · S. Esposito · 0–1

Lautaro Valenti

Yellow Card

▮

63'

65'

▮

Ibrahim Sulemana

Yellow Card

N. Estevez ↓ · M. Keita ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

G. Oristanio

1–1

⚽

83'

87'

⇄

R. Idrissi ↓ · I. Sulemana ↑

Substitution 2

87'

⇄

L. Pavoletti ↓ · S. Esposito ↑

Substitution 3

F. Carboni ↓ · E. Valeri ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

B. Cremaschi ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

90+4'

▮

Adam Obert

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.85	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.72	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.57	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.60	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.06	—	40%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.78	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.58	—	68%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	68%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Away Win	3.46	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.10	—	30%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.52	—	58%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.20	—	85%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	85%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.90	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.49u	−21% ROI