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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Cremonese

Match AS Roma vs Cremonese February 22, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 19:45
3:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.92 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 39% · book 2.47 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.00 – 0.07
Δ +1.93
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +10.2% better than the market.

AS Roma holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a mixed recent form. Their strong defensive setup should contain Cremonese's modest attack, while Roma's offense benefits from a pressing edge against a vulnerable away defense. The match pace hints at a controlled tempo, favoring Roma's compact block and set-piece threat.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Roma's pressing and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace likely to limit high-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · CRE 3-5-2
ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · CRE 99 Svilar 23 Mancini 5 Ndicka ⚽ 87 Ghilardi 19 Çelik 17 Koné 4 Cristante ⚽ 43 Wesley 97 Zaragoza 7 Pellegrini 14 Malen 1 Audero 24 Terracciano 55 Folino 5 Luperto 7 Zerbin 2 Thorsby 29 Maleh 32 Payero 3 Pezzella 90 Bonazzoli 99 Sanabria
Subs used · ROM
46' El Aynaoui ↑ · Ghilardi ↓
56' Venturino ↑ · Zaragoza ↓
72' Pisilli ↑ · Pellegrini ↓
85' Ziolkowski ↑ · Celik ↓
Subs used · CRE
49' Bondo ↑ · Payero ↓
63' Vardy ↑ · Sanabria ↓
74' Djuric ↑ · Pezzella ↓
74' Faye ↑ · Zerbin ↓

📊 Statistics

ROM 3 – 0 CRE
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.07
23
Total Shots
2
5
Shots on Target
0
12
Shots off Target
2
19
Shots Inside Box
1
9
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
11
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

13 · 3 – 0
24'
▮
Morten Thorsby
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
N. El Aynaoui ↓ · D. Ghilardi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
49'
⇄
W. Bondo ↓ · M. Payero ↑
Substitution 1
L. Venturino ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
B. Cristante
Assist · L. Pellegrini · 1–0
⚽
59'
63'
⇄
J. Vardy ↓ · A. Sanabria ↑
Substitution 2
Neil El Aynaoui
Yellow Card
▮
66'
N. Pisilli ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
74'
⇄
M. Djuric ↓ · G. Pezzella ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
M. Faye ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑
Substitution 4
E. Ndicka
Assist · B. Cristante · 2–0
⚽
77'
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · Z. Celik ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
N. Pisilli
3–0
⚽
86'
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.92 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.62 — 61% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.47 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.02 — 43% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.41 — 73% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.65 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.08 — 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 — 73% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 77% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Draw 5.09 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.43 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 68% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.03u −35% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ROM – CRE @ 1.92
+10.2%
Edge
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