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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Inter

Match Atalanta vs Inter December 28, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 19:45
0:1
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.83 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.66 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.80 – 1.12
Δ −0.32
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.83 — +8.1% better than the market.

Inter arrives at New Balance Arena with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and a more potent attack compared to Atalanta's sturdy but less dynamic defense. Despite Atalanta's recent home momentum and slightly better form, Inter's offensive threat and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game tempo and exploit gaps.

  • Inter's pressing and attacking efficiency outmatches Atalanta's defense.
  • Atalanta's home resilience and recent wins provide competitive tension.
  • Expect a moderately open game with chances on both ends, leaning towards a high-scoring encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · INT 3-5-2
ATA · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · INT 29 Carnesecchi 19 Djimsiti 4 Hien 23 Kolašinac 77 Zappacosta 13 Éderson 15 Roon 59 Zalewski 17 Ketelaere 8 Pašalić 9 Scamacca 1 Sommer 31 Bisseck 25 Akanji 95 Bastoni 11 Henrique 23 Barella 20 Çalhanoğlu 7 Zieliński 32 Dimarco 10 Martínez ⚽ 9 Thuram
Subs used · ATA
46' Musah ↑ · Zappacosta ↓
58' Sulemana ↑ · Pasalic ↓
65' Bernasconi ↑ · Zalewski ↓
75' Samardzic ↑ · Kolasinac ↓
Subs used · INT
64' Esposito ↑ · Thuram ↓
76' Mkhitaryan ↑ · Barella ↓
76' Augusto ↑ · Dimarco ↓
83' Diouf ↑ · Martinez ↓
84' Frattesi ↑ · Zielinski ↓

📊 Statistics

ATA 0 – 1 INT
45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
7
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
7
3
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
12
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 1
Sead Kolašinac
Yellow Card
▮
19'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Y. Musah ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
K. Sulemana ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
64'
⇄
F. Esposito ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 1
L. Bernasconi ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
65'
⚽
L. Martinez
Assist · F. Esposito · 0–1
L. Samardzic ↓ · S. Kolasinac ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
76'
⇄
H. Mkhitaryan ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 2
76'
⇄
Carlos Augusto ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑
Substitution 3
77'
▮
Alessandro Bastoni
Yellow Card
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Yellow Card
▮
80'
83'
⇄
A. Diouf ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
D. Frattesi ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.83 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.10 — 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.66 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.32 — 40% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.13 — 41% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.83 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.71 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 — 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 — 63% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.51 — 55% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 — 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 — 19% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.70 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.76 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.79u −5% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
ATA – INT @ 1.83
+8.1%
Edge
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